Virginia's 9th congressional district, encompassing rural southwest areas including Abingdon, Bristol, and parts of the Appalachian region, maintains a strong Republican tilt reflected in its R+22 Cook Partisan Voter Index. Incumbent GOP Representative Morgan Griffith, first elected in 2010 and re-elected with over 72% in 2024, faces limited opposition ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, with all major forecasters rating the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Democratic contenders remain in an August 4 primary with modest fundraising, while Griffith's established incumbency and district voting patterns underpin the 92% trader consensus on a Republican win. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic surge could narrow the margin, though structural factors limit realistic paths to an upset.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей VA-09
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей VA-09
$45,565 Объем
$45,565 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
92%
Демократическая партия
7%
$45,565 Объем
$45,565 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$33,525 Объем
92%
Демократическая партия
$12,040 Объем
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 9th congressional district, encompassing rural southwest areas including Abingdon, Bristol, and parts of the Appalachian region, maintains a strong Republican tilt reflected in its R+22 Cook Partisan Voter Index. Incumbent GOP Representative Morgan Griffith, first elected in 2010 and re-elected with over 72% in 2024, faces limited opposition ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, with all major forecasters rating the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Democratic contenders remain in an August 4 primary with modest fundraising, while Griffith's established incumbency and district voting patterns underpin the 92% trader consensus on a Republican win. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic surge could narrow the margin, though structural factors limit realistic paths to an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Объем
$45,565Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 9th congressional district, encompassing rural southwest areas including Abingdon, Bristol, and parts of the Appalachian region, maintains a strong Republican tilt reflected in its R+22 Cook Partisan Voter Index. Incumbent GOP Representative Morgan Griffith, first elected in 2010 and re-elected with over 72% in 2024, faces limited opposition ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, with all major forecasters rating the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Democratic contenders remain in an August 4 primary with modest fundraising, while Griffith's established incumbency and district voting patterns underpin the 92% trader consensus on a Republican win. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic surge could narrow the margin, though structural factors limit realistic paths to an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$45,565Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Virginia's 9th congressional district, encompassing rural southwest areas including Abingdon, Bristol, and parts of the Appalachian region, maintains a strong Republican tilt reflected in its R+22 Cook Partisan Voter Index. Incumbent GOP Representative Morgan Griffith, first elected in 2010 and re-elected with over 72% in 2024, faces limited opposition ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, with all major forecasters rating the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Democratic contenders remain in an August 4 primary with modest fundraising, while Griffith's established incumbency and district voting patterns underpin the 92% trader consensus on a Republican win. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic surge could narrow the margin, though structural factors limit realistic paths to an upset.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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