Utah's 4th congressional district maintains a consistent Republican advantage rooted in its voting patterns and demographic makeup, with recent nonpartisan ratings classifying the 2026 race as solid or safe for the party. Mike Kennedy secured the Republican nomination without primary opposition following Burgess Owens' retirement, while Democrat Jonny Larsen advanced as the main challenger. This positioning underpins the current trader consensus favoring Republicans at over 90 percent implied probability. The general election on November 3 offers limited pathways for a shift, primarily through unusually high Democratic turnout in the Salt Lake area or an unforeseen candidate-specific development, though historical margins and structural factors make such outcomes unlikely.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоUT-04 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
UT-04 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$15,043 Объем
$15,043 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
91%
Демократическая партия
9%
$15,043 Объем
$15,043 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$5,494 Объем
91%
Демократическая партия
$9,549 Объем
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Utah's 4th congressional district maintains a consistent Republican advantage rooted in its voting patterns and demographic makeup, with recent nonpartisan ratings classifying the 2026 race as solid or safe for the party. Mike Kennedy secured the Republican nomination without primary opposition following Burgess Owens' retirement, while Democrat Jonny Larsen advanced as the main challenger. This positioning underpins the current trader consensus favoring Republicans at over 90 percent implied probability. The general election on November 3 offers limited pathways for a shift, primarily through unusually high Democratic turnout in the Salt Lake area or an unforeseen candidate-specific development, though historical margins and structural factors make such outcomes unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Объем
$15,043Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Utah's 4th congressional district maintains a consistent Republican advantage rooted in its voting patterns and demographic makeup, with recent nonpartisan ratings classifying the 2026 race as solid or safe for the party. Mike Kennedy secured the Republican nomination without primary opposition following Burgess Owens' retirement, while Democrat Jonny Larsen advanced as the main challenger. This positioning underpins the current trader consensus favoring Republicans at over 90 percent implied probability. The general election on November 3 offers limited pathways for a shift, primarily through unusually high Democratic turnout in the Salt Lake area or an unforeseen candidate-specific development, though historical margins and structural factors make such outcomes unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$15,043Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Utah's 4th congressional district maintains a consistent Republican advantage rooted in its voting patterns and demographic makeup, with recent nonpartisan ratings classifying the 2026 race as solid or safe for the party. Mike Kennedy secured the Republican nomination without primary opposition following Burgess Owens' retirement, while Democrat Jonny Larsen advanced as the main challenger. This positioning underpins the current trader consensus favoring Republicans at over 90 percent implied probability. The general election on November 3 offers limited pathways for a shift, primarily through unusually high Democratic turnout in the Salt Lake area or an unforeseen candidate-specific development, though historical margins and structural factors make such outcomes unlikely.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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