Mike Kennedy holds a commanding position in Utah's 4th Congressional District as the Republican incumbent, backed by unified party support after securing roughly 79% at the state convention and advancing unopposed through the June 2026 primary. The district carries a Partisan Voter Index of R+17, placing it among the state's most reliably Republican seats, and independent ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify it as Solid or Safe Republican. Kennedy's substantial fundraising lead of over $800,000 compared to Democratic nominee Jonny Larsen's roughly $34,000 further reinforces the gap. A November 3 general election outcome remains subject to late developments such as a significant scandal or unusually high third-party vote share from Libertarian or unaffiliated candidates, though historical patterns and current structural advantages make such shifts improbable.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоUT-04 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
UT-04 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$42,280 Объем
$42,280 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Майк Кеннеди (Р)
95%
Джонни Ларсен (Д)
4%
$42,280 Объем
$42,280 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Майк Кеннеди (Р)
$16,189 Объем
95%
Джонни Ларсен (Д)
$26,091 Объем
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mike Kennedy holds a commanding position in Utah's 4th Congressional District as the Republican incumbent, backed by unified party support after securing roughly 79% at the state convention and advancing unopposed through the June 2026 primary. The district carries a Partisan Voter Index of R+17, placing it among the state's most reliably Republican seats, and independent ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify it as Solid or Safe Republican. Kennedy's substantial fundraising lead of over $800,000 compared to Democratic nominee Jonny Larsen's roughly $34,000 further reinforces the gap. A November 3 general election outcome remains subject to late developments such as a significant scandal or unusually high third-party vote share from Libertarian or unaffiliated candidates, though historical patterns and current structural advantages make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Объем
$42,280Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mike Kennedy holds a commanding position in Utah's 4th Congressional District as the Republican incumbent, backed by unified party support after securing roughly 79% at the state convention and advancing unopposed through the June 2026 primary. The district carries a Partisan Voter Index of R+17, placing it among the state's most reliably Republican seats, and independent ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify it as Solid or Safe Republican. Kennedy's substantial fundraising lead of over $800,000 compared to Democratic nominee Jonny Larsen's roughly $34,000 further reinforces the gap. A November 3 general election outcome remains subject to late developments such as a significant scandal or unusually high third-party vote share from Libertarian or unaffiliated candidates, though historical patterns and current structural advantages make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$42,280Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Mike Kennedy holds a commanding position in Utah's 4th Congressional District as the Republican incumbent, backed by unified party support after securing roughly 79% at the state convention and advancing unopposed through the June 2026 primary. The district carries a Partisan Voter Index of R+17, placing it among the state's most reliably Republican seats, and independent ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify it as Solid or Safe Republican. Kennedy's substantial fundraising lead of over $800,000 compared to Democratic nominee Jonny Larsen's roughly $34,000 further reinforces the gap. A November 3 general election outcome remains subject to late developments such as a significant scandal or unusually high third-party vote share from Libertarian or unaffiliated candidates, though historical patterns and current structural advantages make such shifts improbable.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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