Mike Kennedy, the Republican incumbent, secured his party's nomination without opposition at the state convention in April, positioning him as the clear frontrunner in Utah's 4th Congressional District for the November 3 general election. The district's conservative lean, reflected in strong prior Republican performance, combined with a limited Democratic field led by Jonny Larsen, has driven trader consensus toward the Republican Party at 90.5%. Analysts rate the seat as solidly Republican. Potential shifts remain possible from late developments such as major scandals, significant national political realignments, or unusually high third-party support, though none have materialized in recent months to alter the current positioning.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоUT-04 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
UT-04 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$15,043 Объем
$15,043 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
91%
Демократическая партия
9%
$15,043 Объем
$15,043 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$5,494 Объем
91%
Демократическая партия
$9,549 Объем
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mike Kennedy, the Republican incumbent, secured his party's nomination without opposition at the state convention in April, positioning him as the clear frontrunner in Utah's 4th Congressional District for the November 3 general election. The district's conservative lean, reflected in strong prior Republican performance, combined with a limited Democratic field led by Jonny Larsen, has driven trader consensus toward the Republican Party at 90.5%. Analysts rate the seat as solidly Republican. Potential shifts remain possible from late developments such as major scandals, significant national political realignments, or unusually high third-party support, though none have materialized in recent months to alter the current positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Объем
$15,043Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mike Kennedy, the Republican incumbent, secured his party's nomination without opposition at the state convention in April, positioning him as the clear frontrunner in Utah's 4th Congressional District for the November 3 general election. The district's conservative lean, reflected in strong prior Republican performance, combined with a limited Democratic field led by Jonny Larsen, has driven trader consensus toward the Republican Party at 90.5%. Analysts rate the seat as solidly Republican. Potential shifts remain possible from late developments such as major scandals, significant national political realignments, or unusually high third-party support, though none have materialized in recent months to alter the current positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$15,043Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mike Kennedy, the Republican incumbent, secured his party's nomination without opposition at the state convention in April, positioning him as the clear frontrunner in Utah's 4th Congressional District for the November 3 general election. The district's conservative lean, reflected in strong prior Republican performance, combined with a limited Democratic field led by Jonny Larsen, has driven trader consensus toward the Republican Party at 90.5%. Analysts rate the seat as solidly Republican. Potential shifts remain possible from late developments such as major scandals, significant national political realignments, or unusually high third-party support, though none have materialized in recent months to alter the current positioning.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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