Minnesota's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+18 partisan voter index and consistent results more than 18 points more Democratic than the national average in recent presidential elections. Incumbent Representative Betty McCollum, first elected in 2000, secured reelection in 2024 with 67.6 percent of the vote against a Republican challenger. Nonpartisan forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat as safe or solid Democratic ahead of the August 2026 primary and November general election. This positioning aligns with the district's composition in the St. Paul area and limited Republican infrastructure. A significant national Republican surge or unexpected primary upset could narrow margins, though structural factors make such shifts unlikely without major realignment.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей MN-04
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей MN-04
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
94%
Республиканская партия
6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$3,370 Объем
94%
Республиканская партия
$6,390 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+18 partisan voter index and consistent results more than 18 points more Democratic than the national average in recent presidential elections. Incumbent Representative Betty McCollum, first elected in 2000, secured reelection in 2024 with 67.6 percent of the vote against a Republican challenger. Nonpartisan forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat as safe or solid Democratic ahead of the August 2026 primary and November general election. This positioning aligns with the district's composition in the St. Paul area and limited Republican infrastructure. A significant national Republican surge or unexpected primary upset could narrow margins, though structural factors make such shifts unlikely without major realignment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Объем
$9,760Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+18 partisan voter index and consistent results more than 18 points more Democratic than the national average in recent presidential elections. Incumbent Representative Betty McCollum, first elected in 2000, secured reelection in 2024 with 67.6 percent of the vote against a Republican challenger. Nonpartisan forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat as safe or solid Democratic ahead of the August 2026 primary and November general election. This positioning aligns with the district's composition in the St. Paul area and limited Republican infrastructure. A significant national Republican surge or unexpected primary upset could narrow margins, though structural factors make such shifts unlikely without major realignment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$9,760Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+18 partisan voter index and consistent results more than 18 points more Democratic than the national average in recent presidential elections. Incumbent Representative Betty McCollum, first elected in 2000, secured reelection in 2024 with 67.6 percent of the vote against a Republican challenger. Nonpartisan forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat as safe or solid Democratic ahead of the August 2026 primary and November general election. This positioning aligns with the district's composition in the St. Paul area and limited Republican infrastructure. A significant national Republican surge or unexpected primary upset could narrow margins, though structural factors make such shifts unlikely without major realignment.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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