The Republican Party holds a 63.5% implied probability in the CO-04 House race primarily due to the district’s strong partisan lean, which includes rural Eastern Plains areas and exurban counties that have favored GOP candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Lauren Boebert secured her party’s nomination without opposition in the June 30 primary, while Democrat Eileen Laubacher, a retired Navy rear admiral, emerged as the challenger after prevailing in her primary. National Democratic committees have prioritized the seat, citing shifting trends in Douglas County and Boebert’s prior narrow margins, though the race remains rated solidly Republican by forecasters. Laubacher’s substantial fundraising edge—over $10 million raised with millions in reserves—has kept Democratic prospects viable heading into the November general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоCO-04 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
CO-04 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$11,022 Объем
$11,022 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
64%
Демократическая партия
38%
$11,022 Объем
$11,022 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$8,906 Объем
64%
Демократическая партия
$2,116 Объем
38%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican Party holds a 63.5% implied probability in the CO-04 House race primarily due to the district’s strong partisan lean, which includes rural Eastern Plains areas and exurban counties that have favored GOP candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Lauren Boebert secured her party’s nomination without opposition in the June 30 primary, while Democrat Eileen Laubacher, a retired Navy rear admiral, emerged as the challenger after prevailing in her primary. National Democratic committees have prioritized the seat, citing shifting trends in Douglas County and Boebert’s prior narrow margins, though the race remains rated solidly Republican by forecasters. Laubacher’s substantial fundraising edge—over $10 million raised with millions in reserves—has kept Democratic prospects viable heading into the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Объем
$11,022Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican Party holds a 63.5% implied probability in the CO-04 House race primarily due to the district’s strong partisan lean, which includes rural Eastern Plains areas and exurban counties that have favored GOP candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Lauren Boebert secured her party’s nomination without opposition in the June 30 primary, while Democrat Eileen Laubacher, a retired Navy rear admiral, emerged as the challenger after prevailing in her primary. National Democratic committees have prioritized the seat, citing shifting trends in Douglas County and Boebert’s prior narrow margins, though the race remains rated solidly Republican by forecasters. Laubacher’s substantial fundraising edge—over $10 million raised with millions in reserves—has kept Democratic prospects viable heading into the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$11,022Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Republican Party holds a 63.5% implied probability in the CO-04 House race primarily due to the district’s strong partisan lean, which includes rural Eastern Plains areas and exurban counties that have favored GOP candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Lauren Boebert secured her party’s nomination without opposition in the June 30 primary, while Democrat Eileen Laubacher, a retired Navy rear admiral, emerged as the challenger after prevailing in her primary. National Democratic committees have prioritized the seat, citing shifting trends in Douglas County and Boebert’s prior narrow margins, though the race remains rated solidly Republican by forecasters. Laubacher’s substantial fundraising edge—over $10 million raised with millions in reserves—has kept Democratic prospects viable heading into the November general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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