Democratic incumbent Josh Harder advanced from the June 2 primary with a clear majority of votes in California's 9th congressional district, facing Republican John McBride in the November general election. The district's strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in recent redistricting and voting patterns, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent. Harder's established incumbency and primary performance reinforce this positioning, while the Republican challenger operates from a significant structural disadvantage. Late developments such as unexpected shifts in turnout or national political events could still influence the final margin, though the current setup leaves limited room for reversal before November.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоCA-09 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
CA-09 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$15,059 Объем
$15,059 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
94%
Республиканская партия
7%
$15,059 Объем
$15,059 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$11,243 Объем
94%
Республиканская партия
$3,817 Объем
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Josh Harder advanced from the June 2 primary with a clear majority of votes in California's 9th congressional district, facing Republican John McBride in the November general election. The district's strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in recent redistricting and voting patterns, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent. Harder's established incumbency and primary performance reinforce this positioning, while the Republican challenger operates from a significant structural disadvantage. Late developments such as unexpected shifts in turnout or national political events could still influence the final margin, though the current setup leaves limited room for reversal before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Объем
$15,059Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Josh Harder advanced from the June 2 primary with a clear majority of votes in California's 9th congressional district, facing Republican John McBride in the November general election. The district's strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in recent redistricting and voting patterns, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent. Harder's established incumbency and primary performance reinforce this positioning, while the Republican challenger operates from a significant structural disadvantage. Late developments such as unexpected shifts in turnout or national political events could still influence the final margin, though the current setup leaves limited room for reversal before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$15,059Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Josh Harder advanced from the June 2 primary with a clear majority of votes in California's 9th congressional district, facing Republican John McBride in the November general election. The district's strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in recent redistricting and voting patterns, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent. Harder's established incumbency and primary performance reinforce this positioning, while the Republican challenger operates from a significant structural disadvantage. Late developments such as unexpected shifts in turnout or national political events could still influence the final margin, though the current setup leaves limited room for reversal before November.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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