John Garamendi’s long incumbency and the district’s consistent Democratic lean anchor trader expectations for a Democratic hold in the November 2026 general election. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of roughly D+19 to D+24, reflecting voter registration advantages and past presidential results that have favored Democrats by wide margins. Multiple Democratic candidates are competing in the June 2 primary, while Republican opposition remains limited, reinforcing the structural barrier to a GOP victory. Market pricing at 92.5% for Democrats reflects this baseline partisan reality, though outcomes could shift if an unexpected primary result alters general-election dynamics or if broader national conditions produce unusually high Republican turnout.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоCA-08 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
CA-08 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$11,980 Объем
$11,980 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
93%
Республиканская партия
7%
$11,980 Объем
$11,980 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$5,711 Объем
93%
Республиканская партия
$6,269 Объем
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).John Garamendi’s long incumbency and the district’s consistent Democratic lean anchor trader expectations for a Democratic hold in the November 2026 general election. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of roughly D+19 to D+24, reflecting voter registration advantages and past presidential results that have favored Democrats by wide margins. Multiple Democratic candidates are competing in the June 2 primary, while Republican opposition remains limited, reinforcing the structural barrier to a GOP victory. Market pricing at 92.5% for Democrats reflects this baseline partisan reality, though outcomes could shift if an unexpected primary result alters general-election dynamics or if broader national conditions produce unusually high Republican turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Объем
$11,980Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).John Garamendi’s long incumbency and the district’s consistent Democratic lean anchor trader expectations for a Democratic hold in the November 2026 general election. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of roughly D+19 to D+24, reflecting voter registration advantages and past presidential results that have favored Democrats by wide margins. Multiple Democratic candidates are competing in the June 2 primary, while Republican opposition remains limited, reinforcing the structural barrier to a GOP victory. Market pricing at 92.5% for Democrats reflects this baseline partisan reality, though outcomes could shift if an unexpected primary result alters general-election dynamics or if broader national conditions produce unusually high Republican turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$11,980Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...John Garamendi’s long incumbency and the district’s consistent Democratic lean anchor trader expectations for a Democratic hold in the November 2026 general election. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of roughly D+19 to D+24, reflecting voter registration advantages and past presidential results that have favored Democrats by wide margins. Multiple Democratic candidates are competing in the June 2 primary, while Republican opposition remains limited, reinforcing the structural barrier to a GOP victory. Market pricing at 92.5% for Democrats reflects this baseline partisan reality, though outcomes could shift if an unexpected primary result alters general-election dynamics or if broader national conditions produce unusually high Republican turnout.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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