California's 26th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean reinforced by recent redistricting and consistent election results, with incumbent Representative Julia Brownley positioned for re-election in the November 2026 midterms. Trader consensus reflected in the 93.5% Democratic probability aligns with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Democratic, driven by the district's voter registration patterns, past margins exceeding 10 points, and limited Republican recruitment or polling traction ahead of the June 2026 primary. The low 5.5% Republican share stems from structural barriers including the top-two primary system and absence of competitive challengers. Potential shifts could arise from an unforeseen primary outcome, national political realignment, candidate withdrawal due to health or scandal, or unusually high turnout dynamics in the general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоCA-26 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
CA-26 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$29,443 Объем
$29,443 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
94%
Республиканская партия
6%
$29,443 Объем
$29,443 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$15,836 Объем
94%
Республиканская партия
$13,607 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 26th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean reinforced by recent redistricting and consistent election results, with incumbent Representative Julia Brownley positioned for re-election in the November 2026 midterms. Trader consensus reflected in the 93.5% Democratic probability aligns with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Democratic, driven by the district's voter registration patterns, past margins exceeding 10 points, and limited Republican recruitment or polling traction ahead of the June 2026 primary. The low 5.5% Republican share stems from structural barriers including the top-two primary system and absence of competitive challengers. Potential shifts could arise from an unforeseen primary outcome, national political realignment, candidate withdrawal due to health or scandal, or unusually high turnout dynamics in the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Объем
$29,443Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 26th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean reinforced by recent redistricting and consistent election results, with incumbent Representative Julia Brownley positioned for re-election in the November 2026 midterms. Trader consensus reflected in the 93.5% Democratic probability aligns with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Democratic, driven by the district's voter registration patterns, past margins exceeding 10 points, and limited Republican recruitment or polling traction ahead of the June 2026 primary. The low 5.5% Republican share stems from structural barriers including the top-two primary system and absence of competitive challengers. Potential shifts could arise from an unforeseen primary outcome, national political realignment, candidate withdrawal due to health or scandal, or unusually high turnout dynamics in the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$29,443Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 26th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean reinforced by recent redistricting and consistent election results, with incumbent Representative Julia Brownley positioned for re-election in the November 2026 midterms. Trader consensus reflected in the 93.5% Democratic probability aligns with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Democratic, driven by the district's voter registration patterns, past margins exceeding 10 points, and limited Republican recruitment or polling traction ahead of the June 2026 primary. The low 5.5% Republican share stems from structural barriers including the top-two primary system and absence of competitive challengers. Potential shifts could arise from an unforeseen primary outcome, national political realignment, candidate withdrawal due to health or scandal, or unusually high turnout dynamics in the general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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