California's 26th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat following the retirement of longtime incumbent Julia Brownley, with Cook Political Report rating the race Solid Democratic and a partisan voting index favoring Democrats by roughly nine points. Multiple Democratic candidates, including state Assemblymember Jacqui Irwin, are competing in the June 2 top-two primary, while Republican options lack comparable visibility or resources. This structural advantage and the absence of competitive opposition explain the current trader consensus on party outcome. Late shifts could still arise from primary turnout patterns or unexpected general-election dynamics within the Ventura County-centered district.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоCA-26 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
CA-26 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$26,423 Объем
$26,423 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
93%
Республиканская партия
7%
$26,423 Объем
$26,423 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$14,026 Объем
93%
Республиканская партия
$12,398 Объем
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 26th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat following the retirement of longtime incumbent Julia Brownley, with Cook Political Report rating the race Solid Democratic and a partisan voting index favoring Democrats by roughly nine points. Multiple Democratic candidates, including state Assemblymember Jacqui Irwin, are competing in the June 2 top-two primary, while Republican options lack comparable visibility or resources. This structural advantage and the absence of competitive opposition explain the current trader consensus on party outcome. Late shifts could still arise from primary turnout patterns or unexpected general-election dynamics within the Ventura County-centered district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Объем
$26,423Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 26th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat following the retirement of longtime incumbent Julia Brownley, with Cook Political Report rating the race Solid Democratic and a partisan voting index favoring Democrats by roughly nine points. Multiple Democratic candidates, including state Assemblymember Jacqui Irwin, are competing in the June 2 top-two primary, while Republican options lack comparable visibility or resources. This structural advantage and the absence of competitive opposition explain the current trader consensus on party outcome. Late shifts could still arise from primary turnout patterns or unexpected general-election dynamics within the Ventura County-centered district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$26,423Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 26th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat following the retirement of longtime incumbent Julia Brownley, with Cook Political Report rating the race Solid Democratic and a partisan voting index favoring Democrats by roughly nine points. Multiple Democratic candidates, including state Assemblymember Jacqui Irwin, are competing in the June 2 top-two primary, while Republican options lack comparable visibility or resources. This structural advantage and the absence of competitive opposition explain the current trader consensus on party outcome. Late shifts could still arise from primary turnout patterns or unexpected general-election dynamics within the Ventura County-centered district.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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