California's 26th congressional district maintains a solid Democratic lean, reflected in its D+8 to D+9 partisan voting index and consistent performance in recent cycles. Incumbent Julia Brownley is retiring after re-election with 56 percent in 2024, creating an open seat where state Assemblymember Jacqui Irwin secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2 primary with overwhelming support and Brownley's endorsement. Forecasters rate the race solid or safe Democratic ahead of the November general election. The Republican nominee, Sam Gallucci, faces structural headwinds in a district with Democratic voter registration advantages and higher median incomes. Trader consensus at these levels incorporates the district's electoral math and primary results while leaving room for potential shifts from a major national partisan swing or late developments affecting candidate viability.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоCA-26 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
CA-26 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$29,443 Объем
$29,443 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
94%
Республиканская партия
6%
$29,443 Объем
$29,443 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$15,836 Объем
94%
Республиканская партия
$13,607 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 26th congressional district maintains a solid Democratic lean, reflected in its D+8 to D+9 partisan voting index and consistent performance in recent cycles. Incumbent Julia Brownley is retiring after re-election with 56 percent in 2024, creating an open seat where state Assemblymember Jacqui Irwin secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2 primary with overwhelming support and Brownley's endorsement. Forecasters rate the race solid or safe Democratic ahead of the November general election. The Republican nominee, Sam Gallucci, faces structural headwinds in a district with Democratic voter registration advantages and higher median incomes. Trader consensus at these levels incorporates the district's electoral math and primary results while leaving room for potential shifts from a major national partisan swing or late developments affecting candidate viability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Объем
$29,443Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 26th congressional district maintains a solid Democratic lean, reflected in its D+8 to D+9 partisan voting index and consistent performance in recent cycles. Incumbent Julia Brownley is retiring after re-election with 56 percent in 2024, creating an open seat where state Assemblymember Jacqui Irwin secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2 primary with overwhelming support and Brownley's endorsement. Forecasters rate the race solid or safe Democratic ahead of the November general election. The Republican nominee, Sam Gallucci, faces structural headwinds in a district with Democratic voter registration advantages and higher median incomes. Trader consensus at these levels incorporates the district's electoral math and primary results while leaving room for potential shifts from a major national partisan swing or late developments affecting candidate viability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$29,443Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 26th congressional district maintains a solid Democratic lean, reflected in its D+8 to D+9 partisan voting index and consistent performance in recent cycles. Incumbent Julia Brownley is retiring after re-election with 56 percent in 2024, creating an open seat where state Assemblymember Jacqui Irwin secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2 primary with overwhelming support and Brownley's endorsement. Forecasters rate the race solid or safe Democratic ahead of the November general election. The Republican nominee, Sam Gallucci, faces structural headwinds in a district with Democratic voter registration advantages and higher median incomes. Trader consensus at these levels incorporates the district's electoral math and primary results while leaving room for potential shifts from a major national partisan swing or late developments affecting candidate viability.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы