Florida's 1st congressional district maintains a consistent Republican lean, reflected in nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classifying the race as solid or safe Republican ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Incumbent Jimmy Patronis secured the Republican nomination with over 71 percent in the August 18 primary, demonstrating strong party support and fundraising advantages against limited primary opposition. Democratic nominee Gay Valimont and an independent candidate face structural headwinds in a district with historical margins favoring Republicans, contributing to the current trader consensus. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the outcome, though no such factors have emerged in recent weeks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей FL-01
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей FL-01
$117,779 Объем
$117,779 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
96%
Демократическая партия
3%
$117,779 Объем
$117,779 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$89,099 Объем
96%
Демократическая партия
$28,680 Объем
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 1st congressional district maintains a consistent Republican lean, reflected in nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classifying the race as solid or safe Republican ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Incumbent Jimmy Patronis secured the Republican nomination with over 71 percent in the August 18 primary, demonstrating strong party support and fundraising advantages against limited primary opposition. Democratic nominee Gay Valimont and an independent candidate face structural headwinds in a district with historical margins favoring Republicans, contributing to the current trader consensus. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the outcome, though no such factors have emerged in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Объем
$117,779Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 1st congressional district maintains a consistent Republican lean, reflected in nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classifying the race as solid or safe Republican ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Incumbent Jimmy Patronis secured the Republican nomination with over 71 percent in the August 18 primary, demonstrating strong party support and fundraising advantages against limited primary opposition. Democratic nominee Gay Valimont and an independent candidate face structural headwinds in a district with historical margins favoring Republicans, contributing to the current trader consensus. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the outcome, though no such factors have emerged in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$117,779Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 1st congressional district maintains a consistent Republican lean, reflected in nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classifying the race as solid or safe Republican ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Incumbent Jimmy Patronis secured the Republican nomination with over 71 percent in the August 18 primary, demonstrating strong party support and fundraising advantages against limited primary opposition. Democratic nominee Gay Valimont and an independent candidate face structural headwinds in a district with historical margins favoring Republicans, contributing to the current trader consensus. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the outcome, though no such factors have emerged in recent weeks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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