California's 11th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat following Nancy Pelosi's retirement, with the June 2 primary advancing two Democratic candidates—state Sen. Scott Wiener and San Francisco Supervisor Connie Chan—to the November general election. The district's partisan lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+36, has produced consistent Democratic dominance in recent cycles, and the top-two primary system eliminated any Republican path to the general ballot. Trader consensus on a Democratic victory aligns with this structural reality and the absence of competitive opposition. A Republican win would require unprecedented shifts such as major scandals or turnout anomalies, outcomes with no precedent in the district's modern electoral history.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоCA-11 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
CA-11 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
97%
Республиканская партия
3%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$5,927 Объем
97%
Республиканская партия
$2,143 Объем
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 11th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat following Nancy Pelosi's retirement, with the June 2 primary advancing two Democratic candidates—state Sen. Scott Wiener and San Francisco Supervisor Connie Chan—to the November general election. The district's partisan lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+36, has produced consistent Democratic dominance in recent cycles, and the top-two primary system eliminated any Republican path to the general ballot. Trader consensus on a Democratic victory aligns with this structural reality and the absence of competitive opposition. A Republican win would require unprecedented shifts such as major scandals or turnout anomalies, outcomes with no precedent in the district's modern electoral history.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Объем
$8,070Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 11th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat following Nancy Pelosi's retirement, with the June 2 primary advancing two Democratic candidates—state Sen. Scott Wiener and San Francisco Supervisor Connie Chan—to the November general election. The district's partisan lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+36, has produced consistent Democratic dominance in recent cycles, and the top-two primary system eliminated any Republican path to the general ballot. Trader consensus on a Democratic victory aligns with this structural reality and the absence of competitive opposition. A Republican win would require unprecedented shifts such as major scandals or turnout anomalies, outcomes with no precedent in the district's modern electoral history.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$8,070Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 11th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat following Nancy Pelosi's retirement, with the June 2 primary advancing two Democratic candidates—state Sen. Scott Wiener and San Francisco Supervisor Connie Chan—to the November general election. The district's partisan lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+36, has produced consistent Democratic dominance in recent cycles, and the top-two primary system eliminated any Republican path to the general ballot. Trader consensus on a Democratic victory aligns with this structural reality and the absence of competitive opposition. A Republican win would require unprecedented shifts such as major scandals or turnout anomalies, outcomes with no precedent in the district's modern electoral history.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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