Michigan's 5th congressional district maintains a Republican lean reflected in its R+13 Partisan Voter Index and consistent ratings of Solid or Safe Republican by forecasters. Incumbent Tim Walberg, seeking re-election, won 65.7% of the vote in 2024 and faces limited primary or general election opposition as of early June 2026. The August 4 primaries and November 3 general election timeline have not produced notable shifts in voter registration, fundraising, or polling that would indicate erosion of this advantage. Trader consensus at 91.5% for the Republican nominee aligns with these structural factors and historical midterm patterns in similar districts. A sustained national environment favoring Democrats or an unforeseen development such as candidate withdrawal could narrow the margin, though both remain low-probability scenarios at present.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей MI-05
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей MI-05
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
92%
Демократическая партия
9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$6,217 Объем
92%
Демократическая партия
$2,368 Объем
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 5th congressional district maintains a Republican lean reflected in its R+13 Partisan Voter Index and consistent ratings of Solid or Safe Republican by forecasters. Incumbent Tim Walberg, seeking re-election, won 65.7% of the vote in 2024 and faces limited primary or general election opposition as of early June 2026. The August 4 primaries and November 3 general election timeline have not produced notable shifts in voter registration, fundraising, or polling that would indicate erosion of this advantage. Trader consensus at 91.5% for the Republican nominee aligns with these structural factors and historical midterm patterns in similar districts. A sustained national environment favoring Democrats or an unforeseen development such as candidate withdrawal could narrow the margin, though both remain low-probability scenarios at present.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Объем
$8,585Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 5th congressional district maintains a Republican lean reflected in its R+13 Partisan Voter Index and consistent ratings of Solid or Safe Republican by forecasters. Incumbent Tim Walberg, seeking re-election, won 65.7% of the vote in 2024 and faces limited primary or general election opposition as of early June 2026. The August 4 primaries and November 3 general election timeline have not produced notable shifts in voter registration, fundraising, or polling that would indicate erosion of this advantage. Trader consensus at 91.5% for the Republican nominee aligns with these structural factors and historical midterm patterns in similar districts. A sustained national environment favoring Democrats or an unforeseen development such as candidate withdrawal could narrow the margin, though both remain low-probability scenarios at present.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$8,585Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan's 5th congressional district maintains a Republican lean reflected in its R+13 Partisan Voter Index and consistent ratings of Solid or Safe Republican by forecasters. Incumbent Tim Walberg, seeking re-election, won 65.7% of the vote in 2024 and faces limited primary or general election opposition as of early June 2026. The August 4 primaries and November 3 general election timeline have not produced notable shifts in voter registration, fundraising, or polling that would indicate erosion of this advantage. Trader consensus at 91.5% for the Republican nominee aligns with these structural factors and historical midterm patterns in similar districts. A sustained national environment favoring Democrats or an unforeseen development such as candidate withdrawal could narrow the margin, though both remain low-probability scenarios at present.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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