Tim Walberg’s incumbency in Michigan’s 5th Congressional District, combined with the seat’s R+13 partisan voter index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus at 94.5 percent. The district spans conservative-leaning southern counties including Jackson, Lenawee, and Monroe. Walberg advanced unopposed through the August 2026 Republican primary after securing prior victories by wide margins, while Democratic nominee Christian Vukasovich, a former professor emphasizing grassroots funding and local issues, cleared his primary but faces structural headwinds in fundraising and name recognition. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Republican. Late national shifts, candidate health developments, or major scandals could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей MI-05
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей MI-05
$21,816 Объем
$21,816 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Тим Уолберг (Р)
95%
Кристиан Вукасович (Д)
6%
$21,816 Объем
$21,816 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Тим Уолберг (Р)
$9,771 Объем
95%
Кристиан Вукасович (Д)
$12,045 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tim Walberg’s incumbency in Michigan’s 5th Congressional District, combined with the seat’s R+13 partisan voter index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus at 94.5 percent. The district spans conservative-leaning southern counties including Jackson, Lenawee, and Monroe. Walberg advanced unopposed through the August 2026 Republican primary after securing prior victories by wide margins, while Democratic nominee Christian Vukasovich, a former professor emphasizing grassroots funding and local issues, cleared his primary but faces structural headwinds in fundraising and name recognition. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Republican. Late national shifts, candidate health developments, or major scandals could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Объем
$21,816Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tim Walberg’s incumbency in Michigan’s 5th Congressional District, combined with the seat’s R+13 partisan voter index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus at 94.5 percent. The district spans conservative-leaning southern counties including Jackson, Lenawee, and Monroe. Walberg advanced unopposed through the August 2026 Republican primary after securing prior victories by wide margins, while Democratic nominee Christian Vukasovich, a former professor emphasizing grassroots funding and local issues, cleared his primary but faces structural headwinds in fundraising and name recognition. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Republican. Late national shifts, candidate health developments, or major scandals could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$21,816Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Tim Walberg’s incumbency in Michigan’s 5th Congressional District, combined with the seat’s R+13 partisan voter index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus at 94.5 percent. The district spans conservative-leaning southern counties including Jackson, Lenawee, and Monroe. Walberg advanced unopposed through the August 2026 Republican primary after securing prior victories by wide margins, while Democratic nominee Christian Vukasovich, a former professor emphasizing grassroots funding and local issues, cleared his primary but faces structural headwinds in fundraising and name recognition. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Republican. Late national shifts, candidate health developments, or major scandals could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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