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icon for Победитель выборов в Палату представителей MI-04
Политика·Промежуточные выборы

Победитель выборов в Палату представителей MI-04

icon for Победитель выборов в Палату представителей MI-04
Политика·Промежуточные выборы

Победитель выборов в Палату представителей MI-04

Polymarket
НОВОЕ
Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Билл Хайзенга (Р)

$3,441 Объем

53%

Шон МакКанн (Д)

$5,146 Объем

49%

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In Michigan’s 4th Congressional District, incumbent Republican Bill Huizenga faces Democrat Sean McCann in a contest rated Lean Republican by forecasters including Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Both candidates secured their August 4 primaries with wide margins, yet the race remains competitive due to the district’s suburban and manufacturing areas trending toward Democrats in recent cycles, combined with McCann’s strong early fundraising and a June poll showing him narrowly ahead. Huizenga has emphasized his legislative effectiveness on Great Lakes protection and infrastructure funding, while McCann highlights healthcare access and energy policy. Recent campaign exchanges center on taxes and constituent costs ahead of the November 3 general election. The narrow trader consensus reflects these offsetting factors and the potential for late shifts in voter turnout or national conditions to influence the outcome.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$8,587
Дата окончания
5 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In Michigan’s 4th Congressional District, incumbent Republican Bill Huizenga faces Democrat Sean McCann in a contest rated Lean Republican by forecasters including Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Both candidates secured their August 4 primaries with wide margins, yet the race remains competitive due to the district’s suburban and manufacturing areas trending toward Democrats in recent cycles, combined with McCann’s strong early fundraising and a June poll showing him narrowly ahead. Huizenga has emphasized his legislative effectiveness on Great Lakes protection and infrastructure funding, while McCann highlights healthcare access and energy policy. Recent campaign exchanges center on taxes and constituent costs ahead of the November 3 general election. The narrow trader consensus reflects these offsetting factors and the potential for late shifts in voter turnout or national conditions to influence the outcome.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$8,587
Дата окончания
5 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x2F5e3684c...

Связанные

icon for Выиграет ли Демократическая партия место в Палате представителей от округа MI-03?

Выиграет ли Демократическая партия место в Палате представителей от округа MI-03?

95%
Да
icon for Выиграет ли Демократическая партия место в Палате представителей по округу MI-06?

Выиграет ли Демократическая партия место в Палате представителей по округу MI-06?

96%
Да
icon for Выиграет ли Демократическая партия место в Палате представителей от округа MI-07?

Выиграет ли Демократическая партия место в Палате представителей от округа MI-07?

56%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Победитель выборов в Палату представителей MI-04» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 2 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Билл Хайзенга (Р)» с 53%, за ним следует «Шон МакКанн (Д)» с 49%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 53¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 53%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Победитель выборов в Палату представителей MI-04» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Dec 16, 2025. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Победитель выборов в Палату представителей MI-04», просмотри 2 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Победитель выборов в Палату представителей MI-04» — «Билл Хайзенга (Р)» с 53%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 53%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Шон МакКанн (Д)» с 49%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Победитель выборов в Палату представителей MI-04» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.