Darline Graham Nordone holds an 87.5% implied probability in the South Carolina U.S. Senate race because the state’s strong Republican lean, combined with her status as the appointed incumbent and Trump-endorsed nominee, creates a substantial structural advantage. Her brother, the late Sen. Lindsey Graham, held the seat for decades, and Nordone secured the GOP nomination by defeating Rep. Ralph Norman in the August 25 special primary runoff. Democratic nominee Annie Andrews, a pediatrician who won her June primary, faces the challenge of competing in a state last carried by a Democrat in a Senate contest in 1998. Recent polling shows a competitive but Republican-favoring margin, while forecasts project Nordone winning by double digits. The October 11 debate and November 3 general election remain the key upcoming events that could influence final voter turnout and margins.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Сенат Южной Каролины
Победитель выборов в Сенат Южной Каролины
$201,662 Объем
$201,662 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Дарлин Грэм Нордоне (Р)
88%
Энни Эндрюс (Д)
14%
$201,662 Объем
$201,662 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Дарлин Грэм Нордоне (Р)
$70,390 Объем
88%
Энни Эндрюс (Д)
$131,272 Объем
14%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Darline Graham Nordone holds an 87.5% implied probability in the South Carolina U.S. Senate race because the state’s strong Republican lean, combined with her status as the appointed incumbent and Trump-endorsed nominee, creates a substantial structural advantage. Her brother, the late Sen. Lindsey Graham, held the seat for decades, and Nordone secured the GOP nomination by defeating Rep. Ralph Norman in the August 25 special primary runoff. Democratic nominee Annie Andrews, a pediatrician who won her June primary, faces the challenge of competing in a state last carried by a Democrat in a Senate contest in 1998. Recent polling shows a competitive but Republican-favoring margin, while forecasts project Nordone winning by double digits. The October 11 debate and November 3 general election remain the key upcoming events that could influence final voter turnout and margins.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Объем
$201,662Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Darline Graham Nordone holds an 87.5% implied probability in the South Carolina U.S. Senate race because the state’s strong Republican lean, combined with her status as the appointed incumbent and Trump-endorsed nominee, creates a substantial structural advantage. Her brother, the late Sen. Lindsey Graham, held the seat for decades, and Nordone secured the GOP nomination by defeating Rep. Ralph Norman in the August 25 special primary runoff. Democratic nominee Annie Andrews, a pediatrician who won her June primary, faces the challenge of competing in a state last carried by a Democrat in a Senate contest in 1998. Recent polling shows a competitive but Republican-favoring margin, while forecasts project Nordone winning by double digits. The October 11 debate and November 3 general election remain the key upcoming events that could influence final voter turnout and margins.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$201,662Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Darline Graham Nordone holds an 87.5% implied probability in the South Carolina U.S. Senate race because the state’s strong Republican lean, combined with her status as the appointed incumbent and Trump-endorsed nominee, creates a substantial structural advantage. Her brother, the late Sen. Lindsey Graham, held the seat for decades, and Nordone secured the GOP nomination by defeating Rep. Ralph Norman in the August 25 special primary runoff. Democratic nominee Annie Andrews, a pediatrician who won her June primary, faces the challenge of competing in a state last carried by a Democrat in a Senate contest in 1998. Recent polling shows a competitive but Republican-favoring margin, while forecasts project Nordone winning by double digits. The October 11 debate and November 3 general election remain the key upcoming events that could influence final voter turnout and margins.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы