Traders see the Democratic Party holding a 92% implied probability in the SC-06 House race because the district has delivered consistent Democratic victories driven by its demographic profile, including a large share of African American voters who have formed a reliable base in recent cycles. This structural edge has limited Republican competitiveness, with challengers rarely closing the gap despite national midterm dynamics. The current pricing reflects the wisdom of crowds assessing these longstanding patterns over short-term polling noise. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include an unexpected candidate withdrawal, a major scandal affecting the frontrunner, or unusually high turnout shifts among key voting blocs, though such developments have been rare in this seat.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей SC-06
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей SC-06
$25,268 Объем
$25,268 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
92%
Республиканская партия
7%
$25,268 Объем
$25,268 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$12,436 Объем
92%
Республиканская партия
$12,832 Объем
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Traders see the Democratic Party holding a 92% implied probability in the SC-06 House race because the district has delivered consistent Democratic victories driven by its demographic profile, including a large share of African American voters who have formed a reliable base in recent cycles. This structural edge has limited Republican competitiveness, with challengers rarely closing the gap despite national midterm dynamics. The current pricing reflects the wisdom of crowds assessing these longstanding patterns over short-term polling noise. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include an unexpected candidate withdrawal, a major scandal affecting the frontrunner, or unusually high turnout shifts among key voting blocs, though such developments have been rare in this seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Объем
$25,268Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Traders see the Democratic Party holding a 92% implied probability in the SC-06 House race because the district has delivered consistent Democratic victories driven by its demographic profile, including a large share of African American voters who have formed a reliable base in recent cycles. This structural edge has limited Republican competitiveness, with challengers rarely closing the gap despite national midterm dynamics. The current pricing reflects the wisdom of crowds assessing these longstanding patterns over short-term polling noise. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include an unexpected candidate withdrawal, a major scandal affecting the frontrunner, or unusually high turnout shifts among key voting blocs, though such developments have been rare in this seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$25,268Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Traders see the Democratic Party holding a 92% implied probability in the SC-06 House race because the district has delivered consistent Democratic victories driven by its demographic profile, including a large share of African American voters who have formed a reliable base in recent cycles. This structural edge has limited Republican competitiveness, with challengers rarely closing the gap despite national midterm dynamics. The current pricing reflects the wisdom of crowds assessing these longstanding patterns over short-term polling noise. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include an unexpected candidate withdrawal, a major scandal affecting the frontrunner, or unusually high turnout shifts among key voting blocs, though such developments have been rare in this seat.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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