**Incumbent Democrat Val Hoyle secured her party's nomination in the May 19, 2026 primary with roughly 78% of the vote, advancing to face Republican nominee Monique DeSpain in the November 3 general election.** Oregon’s 4th District, encompassing Eugene, Corvallis, and coastal areas, carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+6 and is rated Solid Democratic. Hoyle’s 2024 general-election margin exceeded 50%, and no major shifts in polling, fundraising, or national conditions have altered the district’s underlying partisan tilt since then. DeSpain’s primary victory does not appear to have generated significant momentum or outside investment capable of closing the gap in this environment. Trader consensus at 88.5% Democratic reflects the combination of incumbency advantage, structural lean, and absence of competitive indicators heading into the fall campaign.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоOR-04 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
OR-04 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$11,774 Объем
$11,774 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
89%
Республиканская партия
7%
$11,774 Объем
$11,774 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$9,149 Объем
89%
Республиканская партия
$2,626 Объем
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent Democrat Val Hoyle secured her party's nomination in the May 19, 2026 primary with roughly 78% of the vote, advancing to face Republican nominee Monique DeSpain in the November 3 general election.** Oregon’s 4th District, encompassing Eugene, Corvallis, and coastal areas, carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+6 and is rated Solid Democratic. Hoyle’s 2024 general-election margin exceeded 50%, and no major shifts in polling, fundraising, or national conditions have altered the district’s underlying partisan tilt since then. DeSpain’s primary victory does not appear to have generated significant momentum or outside investment capable of closing the gap in this environment. Trader consensus at 88.5% Democratic reflects the combination of incumbency advantage, structural lean, and absence of competitive indicators heading into the fall campaign.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Объем
$11,774Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent Democrat Val Hoyle secured her party's nomination in the May 19, 2026 primary with roughly 78% of the vote, advancing to face Republican nominee Monique DeSpain in the November 3 general election.** Oregon’s 4th District, encompassing Eugene, Corvallis, and coastal areas, carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+6 and is rated Solid Democratic. Hoyle’s 2024 general-election margin exceeded 50%, and no major shifts in polling, fundraising, or national conditions have altered the district’s underlying partisan tilt since then. DeSpain’s primary victory does not appear to have generated significant momentum or outside investment capable of closing the gap in this environment. Trader consensus at 88.5% Democratic reflects the combination of incumbency advantage, structural lean, and absence of competitive indicators heading into the fall campaign.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$11,774Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Incumbent Democrat Val Hoyle secured her party's nomination in the May 19, 2026 primary with roughly 78% of the vote, advancing to face Republican nominee Monique DeSpain in the November 3 general election.** Oregon’s 4th District, encompassing Eugene, Corvallis, and coastal areas, carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+6 and is rated Solid Democratic. Hoyle’s 2024 general-election margin exceeded 50%, and no major shifts in polling, fundraising, or national conditions have altered the district’s underlying partisan tilt since then. DeSpain’s primary victory does not appear to have generated significant momentum or outside investment capable of closing the gap in this environment. Trader consensus at 88.5% Democratic reflects the combination of incumbency advantage, structural lean, and absence of competitive indicators heading into the fall campaign.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы