Incumbent Democratic Representative Val Hoyle secured her party's nomination for Oregon's 4th Congressional District on May 19 with nearly 78 percent of the primary vote, facing limited opposition from challengers. The district carries a D+6 Partisan Voter Index, reflecting consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential cycles, and analysts rate the seat as safely Democratic for the November general election. Republican nominee Monique DeSpain, who won her primary by a wide margin, faces structural headwinds in a district where Democrats hold a clear voter registration and historical turnout advantage. These factors underpin trader consensus assigning the Democratic Party an 87.5 percent implied probability of victory. No major developments have altered the race's trajectory in recent weeks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоOR-04 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
OR-04 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$11,774 Объем
$11,774 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
88%
Республиканская партия
7%
$11,774 Объем
$11,774 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$9,149 Объем
88%
Республиканская партия
$2,626 Объем
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Val Hoyle secured her party's nomination for Oregon's 4th Congressional District on May 19 with nearly 78 percent of the primary vote, facing limited opposition from challengers. The district carries a D+6 Partisan Voter Index, reflecting consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential cycles, and analysts rate the seat as safely Democratic for the November general election. Republican nominee Monique DeSpain, who won her primary by a wide margin, faces structural headwinds in a district where Democrats hold a clear voter registration and historical turnout advantage. These factors underpin trader consensus assigning the Democratic Party an 87.5 percent implied probability of victory. No major developments have altered the race's trajectory in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Объем
$11,774Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Val Hoyle secured her party's nomination for Oregon's 4th Congressional District on May 19 with nearly 78 percent of the primary vote, facing limited opposition from challengers. The district carries a D+6 Partisan Voter Index, reflecting consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential cycles, and analysts rate the seat as safely Democratic for the November general election. Republican nominee Monique DeSpain, who won her primary by a wide margin, faces structural headwinds in a district where Democrats hold a clear voter registration and historical turnout advantage. These factors underpin trader consensus assigning the Democratic Party an 87.5 percent implied probability of victory. No major developments have altered the race's trajectory in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$11,774Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Representative Val Hoyle secured her party's nomination for Oregon's 4th Congressional District on May 19 with nearly 78 percent of the primary vote, facing limited opposition from challengers. The district carries a D+6 Partisan Voter Index, reflecting consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential cycles, and analysts rate the seat as safely Democratic for the November general election. Republican nominee Monique DeSpain, who won her primary by a wide margin, faces structural headwinds in a district where Democrats hold a clear voter registration and historical turnout advantage. These factors underpin trader consensus assigning the Democratic Party an 87.5 percent implied probability of victory. No major developments have altered the race's trajectory in recent weeks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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