Incumbent Democrat Maxine Dexter secured her party's nomination with roughly 90 percent of the vote in the May 2026 primary, facing only token opposition in a district rated solidly Democratic with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+24. The race for Oregon's 3rd congressional district features Republican nominee Loran Ayles in the November general election, yet the area's consistent partisan lean and the incumbent's established position have produced overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic outcome. Structural factors such as high Democratic registration and historical margins exceeding 40 points limit Republican viability. A national political shift, significant scandal affecting the incumbent, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though no such developments have surfaced in the weeks since the primaries.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоOR-03 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
OR-03 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
94%
Республиканская партия
7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$748 Объем
94%
Республиканская партия
$586 Объем
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Maxine Dexter secured her party's nomination with roughly 90 percent of the vote in the May 2026 primary, facing only token opposition in a district rated solidly Democratic with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+24. The race for Oregon's 3rd congressional district features Republican nominee Loran Ayles in the November general election, yet the area's consistent partisan lean and the incumbent's established position have produced overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic outcome. Structural factors such as high Democratic registration and historical margins exceeding 40 points limit Republican viability. A national political shift, significant scandal affecting the incumbent, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though no such developments have surfaced in the weeks since the primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Объем
$1,334Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Maxine Dexter secured her party's nomination with roughly 90 percent of the vote in the May 2026 primary, facing only token opposition in a district rated solidly Democratic with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+24. The race for Oregon's 3rd congressional district features Republican nominee Loran Ayles in the November general election, yet the area's consistent partisan lean and the incumbent's established position have produced overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic outcome. Structural factors such as high Democratic registration and historical margins exceeding 40 points limit Republican viability. A national political shift, significant scandal affecting the incumbent, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though no such developments have surfaced in the weeks since the primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$1,334Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Maxine Dexter secured her party's nomination with roughly 90 percent of the vote in the May 2026 primary, facing only token opposition in a district rated solidly Democratic with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+24. The race for Oregon's 3rd congressional district features Republican nominee Loran Ayles in the November general election, yet the area's consistent partisan lean and the incumbent's established position have produced overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic outcome. Structural factors such as high Democratic registration and historical margins exceeding 40 points limit Republican viability. A national political shift, significant scandal affecting the incumbent, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though no such developments have surfaced in the weeks since the primaries.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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