Oklahoma’s 1st congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat following the July 2026 primary, where Mark Tedford secured the nomination in a crowded field and advanced without a runoff. The open seat, previously held by Republican Kevin Hern, features Democrat John Croisant as the general-election opponent. Historical voting patterns, partisan registration advantages, and Trump’s endorsement of Tedford have anchored trader consensus on a Republican victory at 90.5 percent. Cook Political Report and other forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited crossover appeal for Democrats in this Tulsa-area district. A late scandal involving the nominee or an unforeseen national Democratic surge could narrow the margin, though both remain low-probability events before November.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоОК-01 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
ОК-01 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$24,782 Объем
$24,782 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
91%
Демократическая партия
9%
$24,782 Объем
$24,782 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$12,928 Объем
91%
Демократическая партия
$11,854 Объем
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oklahoma’s 1st congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat following the July 2026 primary, where Mark Tedford secured the nomination in a crowded field and advanced without a runoff. The open seat, previously held by Republican Kevin Hern, features Democrat John Croisant as the general-election opponent. Historical voting patterns, partisan registration advantages, and Trump’s endorsement of Tedford have anchored trader consensus on a Republican victory at 90.5 percent. Cook Political Report and other forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited crossover appeal for Democrats in this Tulsa-area district. A late scandal involving the nominee or an unforeseen national Democratic surge could narrow the margin, though both remain low-probability events before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Объем
$24,782Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oklahoma’s 1st congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat following the July 2026 primary, where Mark Tedford secured the nomination in a crowded field and advanced without a runoff. The open seat, previously held by Republican Kevin Hern, features Democrat John Croisant as the general-election opponent. Historical voting patterns, partisan registration advantages, and Trump’s endorsement of Tedford have anchored trader consensus on a Republican victory at 90.5 percent. Cook Political Report and other forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited crossover appeal for Democrats in this Tulsa-area district. A late scandal involving the nominee or an unforeseen national Democratic surge could narrow the margin, though both remain low-probability events before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$24,782Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oklahoma’s 1st congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat following the July 2026 primary, where Mark Tedford secured the nomination in a crowded field and advanced without a runoff. The open seat, previously held by Republican Kevin Hern, features Democrat John Croisant as the general-election opponent. Historical voting patterns, partisan registration advantages, and Trump’s endorsement of Tedford have anchored trader consensus on a Republican victory at 90.5 percent. Cook Political Report and other forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited crossover appeal for Democrats in this Tulsa-area district. A late scandal involving the nominee or an unforeseen national Democratic surge could narrow the margin, though both remain low-probability events before November.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы