Incumbent Democrat Nanette Barragán secured the top spot in California's June 2, 2026, primary for the 44th congressional district, advancing to the November general election against Republican Genevieve Angel. The district's strong Democratic tilt, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index around D+19, combined with Barragán's consistent past performance exceeding 70 percent in prior cycles, underpins the market's heavy consensus favoring Democratic retention. Primary results and the absence of competitive challengers reinforce this positioning ahead of the general. Potential shifts remain limited to late-cycle developments such as a national partisan swing, candidate health concerns, or unforeseen scandals that could alter turnout or voter priorities in this safely Democratic seat.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоCA-44 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
CA-44 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$23,035 Объем
$23,035 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
94%
Республиканская партия
6%
$23,035 Объем
$23,035 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$14,854 Объем
94%
Республиканская партия
$8,181 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-44 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Nanette Barragán secured the top spot in California's June 2, 2026, primary for the 44th congressional district, advancing to the November general election against Republican Genevieve Angel. The district's strong Democratic tilt, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index around D+19, combined with Barragán's consistent past performance exceeding 70 percent in prior cycles, underpins the market's heavy consensus favoring Democratic retention. Primary results and the absence of competitive challengers reinforce this positioning ahead of the general. Potential shifts remain limited to late-cycle developments such as a national partisan swing, candidate health concerns, or unforeseen scandals that could alter turnout or voter priorities in this safely Democratic seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-44 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
Объем
$23,035Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-44 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Nanette Barragán secured the top spot in California's June 2, 2026, primary for the 44th congressional district, advancing to the November general election against Republican Genevieve Angel. The district's strong Democratic tilt, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index around D+19, combined with Barragán's consistent past performance exceeding 70 percent in prior cycles, underpins the market's heavy consensus favoring Democratic retention. Primary results and the absence of competitive challengers reinforce this positioning ahead of the general. Potential shifts remain limited to late-cycle developments such as a national partisan swing, candidate health concerns, or unforeseen scandals that could alter turnout or voter priorities in this safely Democratic seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-44 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$23,035Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Nanette Barragán secured the top spot in California's June 2, 2026, primary for the 44th congressional district, advancing to the November general election against Republican Genevieve Angel. The district's strong Democratic tilt, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index around D+19, combined with Barragán's consistent past performance exceeding 70 percent in prior cycles, underpins the market's heavy consensus favoring Democratic retention. Primary results and the absence of competitive challengers reinforce this positioning ahead of the general. Potential shifts remain limited to late-cycle developments such as a national partisan swing, candidate health concerns, or unforeseen scandals that could alter turnout or voter priorities in this safely Democratic seat.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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