California’s 48th congressional district shifted to a lean-Democratic partisan voting index following redistricting under Proposition 50, creating a structural advantage for the party in this open seat previously held by retiring Republican Darrell Issa. The June 2 primary advanced San Diego Councilmember Marni von Wilpert as the Democratic nominee and San Diego County Supervisor Jim Desmond as the Republican nominee, setting up a general-election contest on November 3. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Lean or Tilt Democratic, consistent with voter registration trends favoring Democrats by a modest margin and limited polling showing the Democratic candidate competitive or ahead. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these district fundamentals and the absence of major late developments that would alter the balance before the general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоCA-48 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
CA-48 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$12,641 Объем
$12,641 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
86%
Республиканская партия
14%
$12,641 Объем
$12,641 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$6,385 Объем
86%
Республиканская партия
$6,256 Объем
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-48 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 48th congressional district shifted to a lean-Democratic partisan voting index following redistricting under Proposition 50, creating a structural advantage for the party in this open seat previously held by retiring Republican Darrell Issa. The June 2 primary advanced San Diego Councilmember Marni von Wilpert as the Democratic nominee and San Diego County Supervisor Jim Desmond as the Republican nominee, setting up a general-election contest on November 3. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Lean or Tilt Democratic, consistent with voter registration trends favoring Democrats by a modest margin and limited polling showing the Democratic candidate competitive or ahead. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these district fundamentals and the absence of major late developments that would alter the balance before the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-48 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Объем
$12,641Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-48 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 48th congressional district shifted to a lean-Democratic partisan voting index following redistricting under Proposition 50, creating a structural advantage for the party in this open seat previously held by retiring Republican Darrell Issa. The June 2 primary advanced San Diego Councilmember Marni von Wilpert as the Democratic nominee and San Diego County Supervisor Jim Desmond as the Republican nominee, setting up a general-election contest on November 3. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Lean or Tilt Democratic, consistent with voter registration trends favoring Democrats by a modest margin and limited polling showing the Democratic candidate competitive or ahead. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these district fundamentals and the absence of major late developments that would alter the balance before the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-48 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$12,641Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California’s 48th congressional district shifted to a lean-Democratic partisan voting index following redistricting under Proposition 50, creating a structural advantage for the party in this open seat previously held by retiring Republican Darrell Issa. The June 2 primary advanced San Diego Councilmember Marni von Wilpert as the Democratic nominee and San Diego County Supervisor Jim Desmond as the Republican nominee, setting up a general-election contest on November 3. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Lean or Tilt Democratic, consistent with voter registration trends favoring Democrats by a modest margin and limited polling showing the Democratic candidate competitive or ahead. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these district fundamentals and the absence of major late developments that would alter the balance before the general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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