Incumbent Democrat Janelle Bynum secured her party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with over 80 percent of the vote, facing only token opposition. The district carries a modest Democratic lean reflected in its partisan voting index and Kamala Harris's 2024 performance there, where Bynum flipped the seat from Republican control. Republican nominee Patti Adair, a county commissioner, emerged from her primary but faces structural disadvantages in fundraising and name recognition. Forecasters such as the Cook Political Report rate the general election Likely Democratic, consistent with trader consensus that the incumbent's position and the district's underlying electoral math will determine the November outcome absent major shifts before Election Day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоOR-05 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
OR-05 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
84%
Республиканская партия
10%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$367 Объем
84%
Республиканская партия
$137 Объем
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Janelle Bynum secured her party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with over 80 percent of the vote, facing only token opposition. The district carries a modest Democratic lean reflected in its partisan voting index and Kamala Harris's 2024 performance there, where Bynum flipped the seat from Republican control. Republican nominee Patti Adair, a county commissioner, emerged from her primary but faces structural disadvantages in fundraising and name recognition. Forecasters such as the Cook Political Report rate the general election Likely Democratic, consistent with trader consensus that the incumbent's position and the district's underlying electoral math will determine the November outcome absent major shifts before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
Объем
$504Дата окончания
4 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Janelle Bynum secured her party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with over 80 percent of the vote, facing only token opposition. The district carries a modest Democratic lean reflected in its partisan voting index and Kamala Harris's 2024 performance there, where Bynum flipped the seat from Republican control. Republican nominee Patti Adair, a county commissioner, emerged from her primary but faces structural disadvantages in fundraising and name recognition. Forecasters such as the Cook Political Report rate the general election Likely Democratic, consistent with trader consensus that the incumbent's position and the district's underlying electoral math will determine the November outcome absent major shifts before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$504Дата окончания
4 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Janelle Bynum secured her party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with over 80 percent of the vote, facing only token opposition. The district carries a modest Democratic lean reflected in its partisan voting index and Kamala Harris's 2024 performance there, where Bynum flipped the seat from Republican control. Republican nominee Patti Adair, a county commissioner, emerged from her primary but faces structural disadvantages in fundraising and name recognition. Forecasters such as the Cook Political Report rate the general election Likely Democratic, consistent with trader consensus that the incumbent's position and the district's underlying electoral math will determine the November outcome absent major shifts before Election Day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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