Delaware’s at-large House seat remains a solidly Democratic district ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election, with incumbent Sarah McBride unopposed after her party’s September 15 primary was canceled. Nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as Safe or Solid Democratic, consistent with the seat’s performance in recent cycles and the state’s partisan lean. Republicans selected Joseph Arminio as nominee following their September 15 primary, yet the field drew limited resources and statewide visibility. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for Democrats reflects these structural factors, including incumbency advantage and historical voting patterns. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan shift could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей DE-AL
$43,810 Объем
$43,810 Объем
Демократическая партия
95%
Республиканская партия
5%
$43,810 Объем
$43,810 Объем
Демократическая партия
95%
Республиканская партия
5%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Кто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Delaware’s at-large House seat remains a solidly Democratic district ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election, with incumbent Sarah McBride unopposed after her party’s September 15 primary was canceled. Nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as Safe or Solid Democratic, consistent with the seat’s performance in recent cycles and the state’s partisan lean. Republicans selected Joseph Arminio as nominee following their September 15 primary, yet the field drew limited resources and statewide visibility. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for Democrats reflects these structural factors, including incumbency advantage and historical voting patterns. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan shift could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено



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