Recent polls show Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party holding a narrow lead with projected support near 23-25 Knesset seats, translating to roughly 19-21% vote share, yet results remain volatile amid 10-11% undecided respondents and shifting smaller-party thresholds. The September 7 candidate-list deadline and recent entries like the Hendel-Zelekha slate have altered bloc arithmetic, with some surveys indicating Yashar gains at the expense of Naftali Bennett’s B’Yachad while Likud trails. Traders price the 18-24% brackets most heavily because outcomes hinge on turnout patterns, whether additional centrist or right-leaning lists clear the 3.25% threshold, and final opposition consolidation before the October 27 election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоВыборы в Израиле: доля голосов Яшара?
Выборы в Израиле: доля голосов Яшара?
18-20% 29%
16-18% 28%
24%+ 28%
22-24% 27%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 нояб. 2026 г.
<16%
25%
16-18%
28%
18-20%
29%
20-22%
24%
22-24%
27%
24%+
28%
18-20% 29%
16-18% 28%
24%+ 28%
22-24% 27%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 нояб. 2026 г.
<16%
$0 Объем
25%
16-18%
$0 Объем
28%
18-20%
$0 Объем
29%
20-22%
$0 Объем
24%
22-24%
$0 Объем
27%
24%+
$0 Объем
28%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yashar party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yashar's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yashar passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polls show Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party holding a narrow lead with projected support near 23-25 Knesset seats, translating to roughly 19-21% vote share, yet results remain volatile amid 10-11% undecided respondents and shifting smaller-party thresholds. The September 7 candidate-list deadline and recent entries like the Hendel-Zelekha slate have altered bloc arithmetic, with some surveys indicating Yashar gains at the expense of Naftali Bennett’s B’Yachad while Likud trails. Traders price the 18-24% brackets most heavily because outcomes hinge on turnout patterns, whether additional centrist or right-leaning lists clear the 3.25% threshold, and final opposition consolidation before the October 27 election.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yashar party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yashar's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yashar passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yashar party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yashar's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yashar passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Открытие рынка: Sep 8, 2026, 4:16 PM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
30 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 8, 2026, 4:16 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yashar party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yashar's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yashar passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polls show Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party holding a narrow lead with projected support near 23-25 Knesset seats, translating to roughly 19-21% vote share, yet results remain volatile amid 10-11% undecided respondents and shifting smaller-party thresholds. The September 7 candidate-list deadline and recent entries like the Hendel-Zelekha slate have altered bloc arithmetic, with some surveys indicating Yashar gains at the expense of Naftali Bennett’s B’Yachad while Likud trails. Traders price the 18-24% brackets most heavily because outcomes hinge on turnout patterns, whether additional centrist or right-leaning lists clear the 3.25% threshold, and final opposition consolidation before the October 27 election.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yashar party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yashar's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yashar passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yashar party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yashar's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yashar passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Объем
$0Дата окончания
30 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 8, 2026, 4:16 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls show Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party holding a narrow lead with projected support near 23-25 Knesset seats, translating to roughly 19-21% vote share, yet results remain volatile amid 10-11% undecided respondents and shifting smaller-party thresholds. The September 7 candidate-list deadline and recent entries like the Hendel-Zelekha slate have altered bloc arithmetic, with some surveys indicating Yashar gains at the expense of Naftali Bennett’s B’Yachad while Likud trails. Traders price the 18-24% brackets most heavily because outcomes hinge on turnout patterns, whether additional centrist or right-leaning lists clear the 3.25% threshold, and final opposition consolidation before the October 27 election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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