This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Former rivals Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid announced a joint "Together" alliance on April 26-27, 2026, merging their parties to challenge Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's coalition in legislative elections due by October 27 for the 26th Knesset. Massive protests erupted in Tel Aviv the same day, demanding accountability over prolonged wars against Iran and Hezbollah, which polls indicate have failed to boost his support amid shrinking Knesset seats and rising opposition. Netanyahu's March budget passage averted snap elections, but his corruption trial testimony cancellation on April 20 underscores legal pressures. Traders weigh coalition stability, no-confidence risks, and polling trends showing Netanyahu trailing in a proportional representation system prone to hung parliaments and negotiations.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Former rivals Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid announced a joint "Together" alliance on April 26-27, 2026, merging their parties to challenge Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's coalition in legislative elections due by October 27 for the 26th Knesset. Massive protests erupted in Tel Aviv the same day, demanding accountability over prolonged wars against Iran and Hezbollah, which polls indicate have failed to boost his support amid shrinking Knesset seats and rising opposition. Netanyahu's March budget passage averted snap elections, but his corruption trial testimony cancellation on April 20 underscores legal pressures. Traders weigh coalition stability, no-confidence risks, and polling trends showing Netanyahu trailing in a proportional representation system prone to hung parliaments and negotiations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Apr 28 2026
Fact-check debunks viral video of protests calling for Netanyahu’s resignation as outdated
The removal of misinformation about fresh mass protests reduced perceived public pressure on Netanyahu, reinforcing market confidence that he would not resign imminently.
Apr 28 2026
Israeli President Isaac Herzog invites Netanyahu and prosecutors to negotiate a settlement in his ongoing corruption case
The invitation for a plea deal introduced uncertainty but did not immediately threaten Netanyahu’s position, leaving market odds steady.
Apr 28 2026
Netanyahu reveals successful treatment for prostate cancer, but delays disclosure to avoid Iran‑propaganda concerns – The health news, while notable, did not revive resignation
Netanyahu reveals successful treatment for prostate cancer, but delays disclosure to avoid Iran‑propaganda concerns – The health news, while notable, did not revive resignation expectations, leaving the
Apr 27 2026
Opposition alliance “Together” gains endorsements and public support, signaling a credible challenge to Netanyahu’s coalition
June 30 dips to 6%1%
Despite the opposition’s consolidation, polls showed the alliance trailing Netanyahu’s Likud, leading to a stabilization and slight decline in resignation odds.
Apr 26 2026
Former Israeli prime ministers Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid announce merger of their parties into a new alliance “Together” to challenge Netanyahu in upcoming elections
June 30 rises to 7%1%
The formation of a united opposition bloc increased political pressure on Netanyahu, causing a slight uptick in the probability of his stepping down by June 30.
Apr 26 2026
Netanyahu’s government passes the 2026 state budget, averting automatic dissolution and snap elections – The budget win cemented his hold on power, pushing “Yes” odds to their
June 30 dips to 6%1%
Netanyahu’s government passes the 2026 state budget, averting automatic dissolution and snap elections – The budget win cemented his hold on power, pushing “Yes” odds to their lowest level. Sources: Polymarket page and NYT summary.
Apr 26 2026
Former Prime Ministers Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid announce merger to challenge Netanyahu in upcoming elections
April 30 dips to 0%1%
The formation of the Yachad party united Netanyahu’s main rivals, signaling a consolidated opposition; however, this did not translate into immediate expectations of Netanyahu’s resignation, as he remained firmly in power.
Apr 26 2026
Opposition leaders Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid announce a joint party to challenge Netanyahu in the upcoming election – The alliance briefly revived hopes of a political upset,
June 30 dips to 7%4%
Opposition leaders Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid announce a joint party to challenge Netanyahu in the upcoming election – The alliance briefly revived hopes of a political upset, causing a modest uptick. Sources: Reuters, NYT, Al Jazeera.
Apr 25 2026
Netanyahu reveals he had a malignant prostate tumor removed, raising health questions but not triggering resignation announcements
June 30 drops to 6%5%
The health disclosure raised concerns but was strategically timed to avoid fueling resignation speculation, resulting in a minor market impact with odds declining further.
Apr 18 2026
Market reacts to mixed signals as Netanyahu’s health news and coalition pressures persist, with some
December 31 jumps to 45%10%
Market reacts to mixed signals as Netanyahu’s health news and coalition pressures persist, with some
Apr 8 2026
Ceasefire with Iran announced amid political backlash against Netanyahu
April 30 rises to 4%3%
The ceasefire ended military operations sooner than desired, sparking criticism of Netanyahu’s leadership and briefly increasing market odds of his resignation due to perceived failure to achieve war goals.
Apr 6 2026
Israel passes 2026 state budget, narrowly avoiding snap elections
April 30 dips to 1%1%
The passage of the budget maintained Netanyahu’s slim Knesset majority and averted government collapse, significantly lowering the probability of his stepping down before the election.
Apr 2 2026
Netanyahu’s coalition survives a confidence vote, keeping a slim Knesset majority – The vote confirmed his government’s stability, driving the market to a low‑probability zone.
June 30 drops to 11%11%
(no direct source needed – inferred from budget passage)
Mar 21 2026
Netanyahu’s government passes the 2026 state budget, averting automatic dissolution and snap elections
June 30 jumps to 19%5%
The budget approval secured Netanyahu’s government stability, significantly reducing the likelihood of his stepping down by June 30 and pushing market odds lower for a resignation.
Mar 19 2026
Netanyahu claims Iran’s uranium enrichment capacity destroyed after Israeli strikes, projecting strength and reducing resignation speculation
December 31 jumps to 42%12%
Netanyahu claims Iran’s uranium enrichment capacity destroyed after Israeli strikes, projecting strength and reducing resignation speculation
Mar 19 2026
Netanyahu holds first in-person news conference since start of Iran war
April 30 dips to 6%4%
Netanyahu publicly reaffirmed his regime change goals against Iran and Israel’s ongoing military campaigns, signaling his continued active leadership and reducing speculation about imminent resignation.
Mar 12 2026
Netanyahu declares Israel “stronger than ever” after the Iran war, bolstering his war‑time image – His confident speech reduced speculation of a resignation, nudging the
June 30 dips to 22%2%
Netanyahu declares Israel “stronger than ever” after the Iran war, bolstering his war‑time image – His confident speech reduced speculation of a resignation, nudging the
Mar 7 2026
Fact‑check shows viral protest video is from August 2025, not a fresh call for Netanyahu’s resignation – The debunking removed a perceived surge in public pressure, prompting
June 30 plunges to 24%26%
Fact‑check shows viral protest video is from August 2025, not a fresh call for Netanyahu’s resignation – The debunking removed a perceived surge in public pressure, prompting traders to cut “Yes” odds sharply.
Mar 7 2026
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu publicly addresses the nation amid political uncertainty
June 30 plunges to 24%26%
Netanyahu’s statement aimed to reassure the public and coalition partners, temporarily stabilizing his position but not dispelling doubts about his tenure, contributing to a sharp drop in resignation odds.
Dec 29 2025
New York Times reports Netanyahu faces vexing decisions ahead including Gaza, conscription, judicial overhaul, and looming elections with polls indicating likely defeat
December 31 drops to 46%7%
New York Times reports Netanyahu faces vexing decisions ahead including Gaza, conscription, judicial overhaul, and looming elections with polls indicating likely defeat
Dec 20 2025
Netanyahu announces politically-appointed inquiry into October 7 attacks with himself heading it, provoking public outrage and skepticism about genuine accountability
December 31 dips to 53%4%
Netanyahu announces politically-appointed inquiry into October 7 attacks with himself heading it, provoking public outrage and skepticism about genuine accountability
Dec 14 2025
Over 200 hostage survivors and bereaved families demand Netanyahu establish a state commission of inquiry into October 7 failures or resign, escalating public accountability
December 31 rises to 57%4%
Over 200 hostage survivors and bereaved families demand Netanyahu establish a state commission of inquiry into October 7 failures or resign, escalating public accountability pressure
Nov 11 2025
Ron Dermer, Netanyahu’s key minister of strategic affairs, resigns citing critical period and war impact, signaling cracks within Netanyahu’s inner circle
December 31 drops to 56%9%
Ron Dermer, Netanyahu’s key minister of strategic affairs, resigns citing critical period and war impact, signaling cracks within Netanyahu’s inner circle
Oct 28 2025
Netanyahu testifies in corruption trial amid ongoing war;
December 31 drops to 56%13%
opposition accuses him of failing war objectives and lying to the public, intensifying political pressure
Oct 7 2025
Netanyahu survives assassination attempt and orders invasion of Lebanon;
December 31 surges to 69%23%
faces mounting criticism for war failures and calls for resignation after ceasefire with Iran announced
Jul 14 2025
Ultra-Orthodox party United Torah Judaism quits Netanyahu’s coalition over military conscription dispute, narrowing his parliamentary majority and increasing political instability
December 31 dips to 55%4%
Ultra-Orthodox party United Torah Judaism quits Netanyahu’s coalition over military conscription dispute, narrowing his parliamentary majority and increasing political instability
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Former rivals Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid announced a joint "Together" alliance on April 26-27, 2026, merging their parties to challenge Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's coalition in legislative elections due by October 27 for the 26th Knesset. Massive protests erupted in Tel Aviv the same day, demanding accountability over prolonged wars against Iran and Hezbollah, which polls indicate have failed to boost his support amid shrinking Knesset seats and rising opposition. Netanyahu's March budget passage averted snap elections, but his corruption trial testimony cancellation on April 20 underscores legal pressures. Traders weigh coalition stability, no-confidence risks, and polling trends showing Netanyahu trailing in a proportional representation system prone to hung parliaments and negotiations.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Former rivals Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid announced a joint "Together" alliance on April 26-27, 2026, merging their parties to challenge Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's coalition in legislative elections due by October 27 for the 26th Knesset. Massive protests erupted in Tel Aviv the same day, demanding accountability over prolonged wars against Iran and Hezbollah, which polls indicate have failed to boost his support amid shrinking Knesset seats and rising opposition. Netanyahu's March budget passage averted snap elections, but his corruption trial testimony cancellation on April 20 underscores legal pressures. Traders weigh coalition stability, no-confidence risks, and polling trends showing Netanyahu trailing in a proportional representation system prone to hung parliaments and negotiations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Apr 28 2026
Fact-check debunks viral video of protests calling for Netanyahu’s resignation as outdated
The removal of misinformation about fresh mass protests reduced perceived public pressure on Netanyahu, reinforcing market confidence that he would not resign imminently.
Apr 28 2026
Israeli President Isaac Herzog invites Netanyahu and prosecutors to negotiate a settlement in his ongoing corruption case
The invitation for a plea deal introduced uncertainty but did not immediately threaten Netanyahu’s position, leaving market odds steady.
Apr 28 2026
Netanyahu reveals successful treatment for prostate cancer, but delays disclosure to avoid Iran‑propaganda concerns – The health news, while notable, did not revive resignation
Netanyahu reveals successful treatment for prostate cancer, but delays disclosure to avoid Iran‑propaganda concerns – The health news, while notable, did not revive resignation expectations, leaving the
Apr 27 2026
Opposition alliance “Together” gains endorsements and public support, signaling a credible challenge to Netanyahu’s coalition
June 30 dips to 6%1%
Despite the opposition’s consolidation, polls showed the alliance trailing Netanyahu’s Likud, leading to a stabilization and slight decline in resignation odds.
Apr 26 2026
Former Israeli prime ministers Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid announce merger of their parties into a new alliance “Together” to challenge Netanyahu in upcoming elections
June 30 rises to 7%1%
The formation of a united opposition bloc increased political pressure on Netanyahu, causing a slight uptick in the probability of his stepping down by June 30.
Apr 26 2026
Netanyahu’s government passes the 2026 state budget, averting automatic dissolution and snap elections – The budget win cemented his hold on power, pushing “Yes” odds to their
June 30 dips to 6%1%
Netanyahu’s government passes the 2026 state budget, averting automatic dissolution and snap elections – The budget win cemented his hold on power, pushing “Yes” odds to their lowest level. Sources: Polymarket page and NYT summary.
Apr 26 2026
Former Prime Ministers Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid announce merger to challenge Netanyahu in upcoming elections
April 30 dips to 0%1%
The formation of the Yachad party united Netanyahu’s main rivals, signaling a consolidated opposition; however, this did not translate into immediate expectations of Netanyahu’s resignation, as he remained firmly in power.
Apr 26 2026
Opposition leaders Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid announce a joint party to challenge Netanyahu in the upcoming election – The alliance briefly revived hopes of a political upset,
June 30 dips to 7%4%
Opposition leaders Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid announce a joint party to challenge Netanyahu in the upcoming election – The alliance briefly revived hopes of a political upset, causing a modest uptick. Sources: Reuters, NYT, Al Jazeera.
Apr 25 2026
Netanyahu reveals he had a malignant prostate tumor removed, raising health questions but not triggering resignation announcements
June 30 drops to 6%5%
The health disclosure raised concerns but was strategically timed to avoid fueling resignation speculation, resulting in a minor market impact with odds declining further.
Apr 18 2026
Market reacts to mixed signals as Netanyahu’s health news and coalition pressures persist, with some
December 31 jumps to 45%10%
Market reacts to mixed signals as Netanyahu’s health news and coalition pressures persist, with some
Apr 8 2026
Ceasefire with Iran announced amid political backlash against Netanyahu
April 30 rises to 4%3%
The ceasefire ended military operations sooner than desired, sparking criticism of Netanyahu’s leadership and briefly increasing market odds of his resignation due to perceived failure to achieve war goals.
Apr 6 2026
Israel passes 2026 state budget, narrowly avoiding snap elections
April 30 dips to 1%1%
The passage of the budget maintained Netanyahu’s slim Knesset majority and averted government collapse, significantly lowering the probability of his stepping down before the election.
Apr 2 2026
Netanyahu’s coalition survives a confidence vote, keeping a slim Knesset majority – The vote confirmed his government’s stability, driving the market to a low‑probability zone.
June 30 drops to 11%11%
(no direct source needed – inferred from budget passage)
Mar 21 2026
Netanyahu’s government passes the 2026 state budget, averting automatic dissolution and snap elections
June 30 jumps to 19%5%
The budget approval secured Netanyahu’s government stability, significantly reducing the likelihood of his stepping down by June 30 and pushing market odds lower for a resignation.
Mar 19 2026
Netanyahu claims Iran’s uranium enrichment capacity destroyed after Israeli strikes, projecting strength and reducing resignation speculation
December 31 jumps to 42%12%
Netanyahu claims Iran’s uranium enrichment capacity destroyed after Israeli strikes, projecting strength and reducing resignation speculation
Mar 19 2026
Netanyahu holds first in-person news conference since start of Iran war
April 30 dips to 6%4%
Netanyahu publicly reaffirmed his regime change goals against Iran and Israel’s ongoing military campaigns, signaling his continued active leadership and reducing speculation about imminent resignation.
Mar 12 2026
Netanyahu declares Israel “stronger than ever” after the Iran war, bolstering his war‑time image – His confident speech reduced speculation of a resignation, nudging the
June 30 dips to 22%2%
Netanyahu declares Israel “stronger than ever” after the Iran war, bolstering his war‑time image – His confident speech reduced speculation of a resignation, nudging the
Mar 7 2026
Fact‑check shows viral protest video is from August 2025, not a fresh call for Netanyahu’s resignation – The debunking removed a perceived surge in public pressure, prompting
June 30 plunges to 24%26%
Fact‑check shows viral protest video is from August 2025, not a fresh call for Netanyahu’s resignation – The debunking removed a perceived surge in public pressure, prompting traders to cut “Yes” odds sharply.
Mar 7 2026
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu publicly addresses the nation amid political uncertainty
June 30 plunges to 24%26%
Netanyahu’s statement aimed to reassure the public and coalition partners, temporarily stabilizing his position but not dispelling doubts about his tenure, contributing to a sharp drop in resignation odds.
Dec 29 2025
New York Times reports Netanyahu faces vexing decisions ahead including Gaza, conscription, judicial overhaul, and looming elections with polls indicating likely defeat
December 31 drops to 46%7%
New York Times reports Netanyahu faces vexing decisions ahead including Gaza, conscription, judicial overhaul, and looming elections with polls indicating likely defeat
Dec 20 2025
Netanyahu announces politically-appointed inquiry into October 7 attacks with himself heading it, provoking public outrage and skepticism about genuine accountability
December 31 dips to 53%4%
Netanyahu announces politically-appointed inquiry into October 7 attacks with himself heading it, provoking public outrage and skepticism about genuine accountability
Dec 14 2025
Over 200 hostage survivors and bereaved families demand Netanyahu establish a state commission of inquiry into October 7 failures or resign, escalating public accountability
December 31 rises to 57%4%
Over 200 hostage survivors and bereaved families demand Netanyahu establish a state commission of inquiry into October 7 failures or resign, escalating public accountability pressure
Nov 11 2025
Ron Dermer, Netanyahu’s key minister of strategic affairs, resigns citing critical period and war impact, signaling cracks within Netanyahu’s inner circle
December 31 drops to 56%9%
Ron Dermer, Netanyahu’s key minister of strategic affairs, resigns citing critical period and war impact, signaling cracks within Netanyahu’s inner circle
Oct 28 2025
Netanyahu testifies in corruption trial amid ongoing war;
December 31 drops to 56%13%
opposition accuses him of failing war objectives and lying to the public, intensifying political pressure
Oct 7 2025
Netanyahu survives assassination attempt and orders invasion of Lebanon;
December 31 surges to 69%23%
faces mounting criticism for war failures and calls for resignation after ceasefire with Iran announced
Jul 14 2025
Ultra-Orthodox party United Torah Judaism quits Netanyahu’s coalition over military conscription dispute, narrowing his parliamentary majority and increasing political instability
December 31 dips to 55%4%
Ultra-Orthodox party United Torah Judaism quits Netanyahu’s coalition over military conscription dispute, narrowing his parliamentary majority and increasing political instability
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Часто задаваемые вопросы
«Нетаньяху вышел...?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 5 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «31 декабря» с 44%, за ним следует «30 июня» с 6%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 44¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 44%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.
На сегодняшний день «Нетаньяху вышел...?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $119.7 million с момента запуска рынка Jul 24, 2025. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.
Чтобы торговать на «Нетаньяху вышел...?», просмотри 5 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.
Текущий фаворит для «Нетаньяху вышел...?» — «31 декабря» с 44%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 44%. Следующий ближайший исход — «30 июня» с 6%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.
Правила разрешения «Нетаньяху вышел...?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.
Да. Тебе не нужно торговать, чтобы оставаться в курсе. Эта страница служит трекером в реальном времени для «Нетаньяху вышел...?». Вероятности исходов обновляются в реальном времени по мере поступления новых сделок. Ты можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки и читать раздел комментариев, чтобы узнать мнение других трейдеров. Ты также можешь использовать фильтры временного диапазона на графике, чтобы увидеть, как менялись коэффициенты со временем.
Коэффициенты Polymarket устанавливаются реальными трейдерами, вкладывающими реальные деньги в свои убеждения, что обычно приводит к точным прогнозам. С объёмом торгов $119.7 million по “Нетаньяху вышел...?” эти цены агрегируют коллективные знания и убеждённость тысяч участников — часто превосходя опросы, экспертные прогнозы и традиционные исследования. Рынки прогнозов, такие как Polymarket, имеют сильный послужной список точности, особенно когда события приближаются к дате разрешения. Например, месячный показатель точности Polymarket составляет 94%. Для получения последних статистических данных о точности прогнозов Polymarket посети страницу точности на Polymarket.
Чтобы совершить первую сделку на «Нетаньяху вышел...?», зарегистрируй бесплатный аккаунт на Polymarket и пополни его с помощью криптовалюты, кредитной или дебетовой карты или банковского перевода. После пополнения аккаунта вернись на эту страницу, выбери исход, на который хочешь торговать, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если ты новичок на рынках прогнозов, нажми на ссылку «Как это работает» вверху любой страницы Polymarket для пошагового руководства.
На Polymarket цена каждого исхода представляет подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Цена 44¢ для «31 декабря» на рынке «Нетаньяху вышел...?» означает, что трейдеры коллективно оценивают вероятность того, что «31 декабря» будет правильным результатом, примерно в 44%. Если ты купишь акции «Да» по 44¢ и исход окажется правильным, ты получишь $1,00 за акцию — прибыль 56¢ за акцию. Если нет — эти акции будут стоить $0.
Рынок «Нетаньяху вышел...?» запланирован к разрешению примерно Dec 31, 2026. Это означает, что торговля остаётся открытой, а коэффициенты продолжат меняться до этой даты. Точные сроки разрешения зависят от момента появления официального результата, как описано в разделе «Правила».
Рынок «Нетаньяху вышел...?» имеет активное сообщество из 2,221 комментариев, где трейдеры делятся своим анализом, обсуждают исходы и последние события. Прокрути вниз до раздела комментариев, чтобы прочитать, что думают другие участники. Ты также можешь фильтровать по «Топ-держателям» или проверить вкладку «Активность» для ленты сделок в реальном времени.
Polymarket — крупнейший в мире рынок прогнозов, где ты можешь оставаться в курсе событий и зарабатывать на своих знаниях о реальных событиях. Трейдеры покупают и продают акции на исходы по темам от политики и выборов до криптовалют, финансов, спорта, технологий и культуры, включая рынки вроде «Нетаньяху вышел...?». Цены отражают вероятности в реальном времени, подкреплённые финансовыми убеждениями, зачастую обеспечивая более быстрые и точные сигналы, чем опросы, эксперты или традиционные исследования.
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Часто задаваемые вопросы