The recent reunification of the Joint List—comprising Hadash, Ta’al, and Balad—following extended negotiations over slate order has consolidated Arab party support ahead of the October 27 election, with the alliance submitting its candidate list on September 8 after resolving internal disputes and a last-minute candidate adjustment. Recent polls project the list at 7 seats, equating to roughly 5.8% of the vote, though results vary across surveys from 6 to 8 seats amid differences in Arab turnout assumptions and competition from Ra’am. This positioning keeps the 5.5-6.5%, 6.5-7.5%, and 7.5%+ brackets closely matched, as modest shifts in voter mobilization or bloc dynamics could alter the final share. Upcoming events such as final campaign pushes and turnout patterns among Arab voters remain key variables.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено7,5%+ 29%
6,5–7,5% 26%
5,5–6,5 % 22%
<4,5% 20%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 нояб. 2026 г.
<4,5%
20%
4,5-5,5%
20%
5,5–6,5 %
37%
6,5–7,5%
26%
7,5%+
29%
7,5%+ 29%
6,5–7,5% 26%
5,5–6,5 % 22%
<4,5% 20%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 нояб. 2026 г.
<4,5%
$130 Объем
20%
4,5-5,5%
$20 Объем
20%
5,5–6,5 %
$110 Объем
37%
6,5–7,5%
$20 Объем
26%
7,5%+
$39 Объем
29%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by The Joint List party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by The Joint List's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether The Joint List passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).The recent reunification of the Joint List—comprising Hadash, Ta’al, and Balad—following extended negotiations over slate order has consolidated Arab party support ahead of the October 27 election, with the alliance submitting its candidate list on September 8 after resolving internal disputes and a last-minute candidate adjustment. Recent polls project the list at 7 seats, equating to roughly 5.8% of the vote, though results vary across surveys from 6 to 8 seats amid differences in Arab turnout assumptions and competition from Ra’am. This positioning keeps the 5.5-6.5%, 6.5-7.5%, and 7.5%+ brackets closely matched, as modest shifts in voter mobilization or bloc dynamics could alter the final share. Upcoming events such as final campaign pushes and turnout patterns among Arab voters remain key variables.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by The Joint List party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by The Joint List's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether The Joint List passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by The Joint List party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by The Joint List's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether The Joint List passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Открытие рынка: Sep 8, 2026, 2:38 PM ET
Объем
$320Дата окончания
27 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 8, 2026, 2:38 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by The Joint List party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by The Joint List's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether The Joint List passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).The recent reunification of the Joint List—comprising Hadash, Ta’al, and Balad—following extended negotiations over slate order has consolidated Arab party support ahead of the October 27 election, with the alliance submitting its candidate list on September 8 after resolving internal disputes and a last-minute candidate adjustment. Recent polls project the list at 7 seats, equating to roughly 5.8% of the vote, though results vary across surveys from 6 to 8 seats amid differences in Arab turnout assumptions and competition from Ra’am. This positioning keeps the 5.5-6.5%, 6.5-7.5%, and 7.5%+ brackets closely matched, as modest shifts in voter mobilization or bloc dynamics could alter the final share. Upcoming events such as final campaign pushes and turnout patterns among Arab voters remain key variables.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by The Joint List party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by The Joint List's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether The Joint List passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by The Joint List party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by The Joint List's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether The Joint List passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Объем
$320Дата окончания
27 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 8, 2026, 2:38 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The recent reunification of the Joint List—comprising Hadash, Ta’al, and Balad—following extended negotiations over slate order has consolidated Arab party support ahead of the October 27 election, with the alliance submitting its candidate list on September 8 after resolving internal disputes and a last-minute candidate adjustment. Recent polls project the list at 7 seats, equating to roughly 5.8% of the vote, though results vary across surveys from 6 to 8 seats amid differences in Arab turnout assumptions and competition from Ra’am. This positioning keeps the 5.5-6.5%, 6.5-7.5%, and 7.5%+ brackets closely matched, as modest shifts in voter mobilization or bloc dynamics could alter the final share. Upcoming events such as final campaign pushes and turnout patterns among Arab voters remain key variables.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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