Recent polling averages place Otzma Yehudit at 6-9 Knesset seats in the October 27 election, reflecting steady but limited support amid a fragmented right-wing bloc and persistent coalition tensions with Likud. Disqualification petitions filed by the Democrats party citing incitement and anti-democratic actions, alongside reciprocal filings, introduce legal uncertainty that traders weigh heavily. Party efforts to expand its slate with a Haredi candidate and broader appeals have not yet produced clear polling gains, while surplus agreements and bloc arithmetic keep outcomes sensitive to turnout shifts among religious Zionist and nationalist voters. This balance sustains closely matched probabilities across the higher and lower vote-share bins.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено5,5–6,5% 24%
4,5–5,5% 23%
<4,5% 22%
6,5-7,5% 0
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 нояб. 2026 г.
<4,5%
19%
4,5–5,5%
23%
5,5–6,5%
19%
6,5-7,5%
36%
7,5%+
44%
5,5–6,5% 24%
4,5–5,5% 23%
<4,5% 22%
6,5-7,5% 0
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 нояб. 2026 г.
<4,5%
$26 Объем
19%
4,5–5,5%
$13 Объем
23%
5,5–6,5%
$112 Объем
19%
6,5-7,5%
$123 Объем
36%
7,5%+
$324 Объем
44%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Otzma Yehudit party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Otzma Yehudit's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Otzma Yehudit passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polling averages place Otzma Yehudit at 6-9 Knesset seats in the October 27 election, reflecting steady but limited support amid a fragmented right-wing bloc and persistent coalition tensions with Likud. Disqualification petitions filed by the Democrats party citing incitement and anti-democratic actions, alongside reciprocal filings, introduce legal uncertainty that traders weigh heavily. Party efforts to expand its slate with a Haredi candidate and broader appeals have not yet produced clear polling gains, while surplus agreements and bloc arithmetic keep outcomes sensitive to turnout shifts among religious Zionist and nationalist voters. This balance sustains closely matched probabilities across the higher and lower vote-share bins.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Otzma Yehudit party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Otzma Yehudit's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Otzma Yehudit passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Otzma Yehudit party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Otzma Yehudit's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Otzma Yehudit passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Открытие рынка: Sep 8, 2026, 4:18 PM ET
Объем
$598Дата окончания
27 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 8, 2026, 4:18 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Otzma Yehudit party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Otzma Yehudit's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Otzma Yehudit passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polling averages place Otzma Yehudit at 6-9 Knesset seats in the October 27 election, reflecting steady but limited support amid a fragmented right-wing bloc and persistent coalition tensions with Likud. Disqualification petitions filed by the Democrats party citing incitement and anti-democratic actions, alongside reciprocal filings, introduce legal uncertainty that traders weigh heavily. Party efforts to expand its slate with a Haredi candidate and broader appeals have not yet produced clear polling gains, while surplus agreements and bloc arithmetic keep outcomes sensitive to turnout shifts among religious Zionist and nationalist voters. This balance sustains closely matched probabilities across the higher and lower vote-share bins.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Otzma Yehudit party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Otzma Yehudit's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Otzma Yehudit passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Otzma Yehudit party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Otzma Yehudit's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Otzma Yehudit passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Объем
$598Дата окончания
27 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 8, 2026, 4:18 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place Otzma Yehudit at 6-9 Knesset seats in the October 27 election, reflecting steady but limited support amid a fragmented right-wing bloc and persistent coalition tensions with Likud. Disqualification petitions filed by the Democrats party citing incitement and anti-democratic actions, alongside reciprocal filings, introduce legal uncertainty that traders weigh heavily. Party efforts to expand its slate with a Haredi candidate and broader appeals have not yet produced clear polling gains, while surplus agreements and bloc arithmetic keep outcomes sensitive to turnout shifts among religious Zionist and nationalist voters. This balance sustains closely matched probabilities across the higher and lower vote-share bins.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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