Sweden's parliamentary election on September 13 featured record early voting exceeding 3.6 million ballots, which supported expectations for solid participation near historical levels around 84 percent. Preliminary counts reached 80.3 percent of registered voters, with analysts noting that remaining postal, overseas, and late ballots typically add several points to the final figure, though a modest decline from 2022's 84.2 percent appears likely. Increased turnout in certain urban suburbs contrasted with softer engagement elsewhere, while the close contest between blocs provided some mobilization incentive. Trader pricing places the highest probability on an 82-84 percent outcome, reflecting the balance between Sweden's strong civic norms and the recent downward trend in overall participation. Final results, including any adjustments from outstanding votes, will determine resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено82-84% 66%
84-86% 32.6%
<82% 7.3%
86-88% 1.0%
$11,992 Объем
$11,992 Объем
<82%
23%
82-84%
66%
84-86%
33%
86-88%
8%
88%+
10%
82-84% 66%
84-86% 32.6%
<82% 7.3%
86-88% 1.0%
$11,992 Объем
$11,992 Объем
<82%
23%
82-84%
66%
84-86%
33%
86-88%
8%
88%+
10%
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate in the specified election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.val.se/valresultat/riksdag-region-och-kommun/2022/valresultat.html).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten, https://www.val.se/).
Открытие рынка: Sep 8, 2026, 4:28 PM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate in the specified election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.val.se/valresultat/riksdag-region-och-kommun/2022/valresultat.html).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten, https://www.val.se/).
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Sweden's parliamentary election on September 13 featured record early voting exceeding 3.6 million ballots, which supported expectations for solid participation near historical levels around 84 percent. Preliminary counts reached 80.3 percent of registered voters, with analysts noting that remaining postal, overseas, and late ballots typically add several points to the final figure, though a modest decline from 2022's 84.2 percent appears likely. Increased turnout in certain urban suburbs contrasted with softer engagement elsewhere, while the close contest between blocs provided some mobilization incentive. Trader pricing places the highest probability on an 82-84 percent outcome, reflecting the balance between Sweden's strong civic norms and the recent downward trend in overall participation. Final results, including any adjustments from outstanding votes, will determine resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено



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