Ukrainian forces have gained momentum in the Lyman sector of Donetsk region through recent counteroffensive operations north of the city. Advances have secured elevated terrain overlooking Kolodiazi, enabling observation and fire control over the settlement and the main eastward withdrawal route toward the Zherebets River. Russian attempts to extract troops from the salient encountered setbacks, leaving more than 100 soldiers reportedly trapped amid Ukrainian clearing actions in southern parts of the village. These developments follow repeated Russian assault and infiltration efforts that Ukrainian units have repelled, consistent with broader patterns of localized fighting and salient reduction along this axis. Traders assessing short-term resolution windows will likely monitor ongoing ground operations, Russian reinforcement attempts, and any confirmed territorial shifts in the immediate area.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоВернется ли Украина в Колодиази к...?
31 октября
78%
31 декабря
86%
$7,909 Объем
31 октября
78%
31 декабря
86%
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Ukrainian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Reported Ukrainian Territorial Gains in the Past 24 Hours", or “Claimed Ukrainian Counteroffensives” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Ukraine comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded blue in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Ukraine de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 7, 2026, 10:39 PM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Ukrainian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Reported Ukrainian Territorial Gains in the Past 24 Hours", or “Claimed Ukrainian Counteroffensives” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Ukraine comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded blue in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Ukraine de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Кто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Ukrainian forces have gained momentum in the Lyman sector of Donetsk region through recent counteroffensive operations north of the city. Advances have secured elevated terrain overlooking Kolodiazi, enabling observation and fire control over the settlement and the main eastward withdrawal route toward the Zherebets River. Russian attempts to extract troops from the salient encountered setbacks, leaving more than 100 soldiers reportedly trapped amid Ukrainian clearing actions in southern parts of the village. These developments follow repeated Russian assault and infiltration efforts that Ukrainian units have repelled, consistent with broader patterns of localized fighting and salient reduction along this axis. Traders assessing short-term resolution windows will likely monitor ongoing ground operations, Russian reinforcement attempts, and any confirmed territorial shifts in the immediate area.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

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