California's 43rd congressional district features a heavily Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its D+27 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent support for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Maxine Waters advanced from the June 2, 2026, top-two primary with over 60 percent of the vote and faces Republican challenger Cristian Morales in the November general election. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, underscoring limited crossover appeal for Republican contenders in the Los Angeles-area seat. Trader consensus at 94 percent for a Democratic outcome aligns with these structural factors, though shifts could occur from unexpected turnout changes or late developments within the five-month window to Election Day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоCA-43 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
CA-43 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$23,999 Объем
$23,999 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
94%
Республиканская партия
5%
$23,999 Объем
$23,999 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$9,434 Объем
94%
Республиканская партия
$14,565 Объем
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-43 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 43rd congressional district features a heavily Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its D+27 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent support for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Maxine Waters advanced from the June 2, 2026, top-two primary with over 60 percent of the vote and faces Republican challenger Cristian Morales in the November general election. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, underscoring limited crossover appeal for Republican contenders in the Los Angeles-area seat. Trader consensus at 94 percent for a Democratic outcome aligns with these structural factors, though shifts could occur from unexpected turnout changes or late developments within the five-month window to Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-43 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
Объем
$23,999Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-43 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 43rd congressional district features a heavily Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its D+27 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent support for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Maxine Waters advanced from the June 2, 2026, top-two primary with over 60 percent of the vote and faces Republican challenger Cristian Morales in the November general election. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, underscoring limited crossover appeal for Republican contenders in the Los Angeles-area seat. Trader consensus at 94 percent for a Democratic outcome aligns with these structural factors, though shifts could occur from unexpected turnout changes or late developments within the five-month window to Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-43 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$23,999Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 43rd congressional district features a heavily Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its D+27 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent support for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Maxine Waters advanced from the June 2, 2026, top-two primary with over 60 percent of the vote and faces Republican challenger Cristian Morales in the November general election. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, underscoring limited crossover appeal for Republican contenders in the Los Angeles-area seat. Trader consensus at 94 percent for a Democratic outcome aligns with these structural factors, though shifts could occur from unexpected turnout changes or late developments within the five-month window to Election Day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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