South Carolina's 1st congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat following the open primary on June 9, where a crowded Republican field advanced Jenny Costa Honeycutt and Mark Smith to the June 23 runoff while Democrats Nancy Lacore and Mac Deford head to their own runoff. The district, vacated by Rep. Nancy Mace's gubernatorial bid, carries long-standing GOP advantages in voter registration, recent election margins, and nonpartisan ratings that classify it as safe or solid Republican. These structural factors underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee in November, though the early stage of candidate selection and upcoming runoffs introduce some uncertainty that caps implied probabilities below overwhelming levels. No major polling shifts or external events have altered the baseline outlook in recent weeks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоSC-01 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
SC-01 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$38,996 Объем
$38,996 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
67%
Демократическая партия
31%
$38,996 Объем
$38,996 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$7,236 Объем
67%
Демократическая партия
$31,760 Объем
31%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Carolina's 1st congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat following the open primary on June 9, where a crowded Republican field advanced Jenny Costa Honeycutt and Mark Smith to the June 23 runoff while Democrats Nancy Lacore and Mac Deford head to their own runoff. The district, vacated by Rep. Nancy Mace's gubernatorial bid, carries long-standing GOP advantages in voter registration, recent election margins, and nonpartisan ratings that classify it as safe or solid Republican. These structural factors underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee in November, though the early stage of candidate selection and upcoming runoffs introduce some uncertainty that caps implied probabilities below overwhelming levels. No major polling shifts or external events have altered the baseline outlook in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Объем
$38,996Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Carolina's 1st congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat following the open primary on June 9, where a crowded Republican field advanced Jenny Costa Honeycutt and Mark Smith to the June 23 runoff while Democrats Nancy Lacore and Mac Deford head to their own runoff. The district, vacated by Rep. Nancy Mace's gubernatorial bid, carries long-standing GOP advantages in voter registration, recent election margins, and nonpartisan ratings that classify it as safe or solid Republican. These structural factors underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee in November, though the early stage of candidate selection and upcoming runoffs introduce some uncertainty that caps implied probabilities below overwhelming levels. No major polling shifts or external events have altered the baseline outlook in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$38,996Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Carolina's 1st congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat following the open primary on June 9, where a crowded Republican field advanced Jenny Costa Honeycutt and Mark Smith to the June 23 runoff while Democrats Nancy Lacore and Mac Deford head to their own runoff. The district, vacated by Rep. Nancy Mace's gubernatorial bid, carries long-standing GOP advantages in voter registration, recent election margins, and nonpartisan ratings that classify it as safe or solid Republican. These structural factors underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee in November, though the early stage of candidate selection and upcoming runoffs introduce some uncertainty that caps implied probabilities below overwhelming levels. No major polling shifts or external events have altered the baseline outlook in recent weeks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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