South Carolina's 1st congressional district carries a Republican lean reflected in its PVI rating and recent presidential voting patterns, positioning the Republican nominee as the frontrunner in the open-seat 2026 general election. Incumbent Nancy Mace's decision to run for governor instead of seeking reelection created the vacancy, drawing a crowded Republican primary while Democrats advanced multiple candidates through their June 9 primary. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district's history of GOP control outside one recent cycle. The DCCC's inclusion of the seat on its target list has drawn some national attention to Democratic efforts, yet the underlying electoral math and statewide partisan environment continue to anchor trader consensus around a Republican victory.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоSC-01 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$38,505 Объем
$38,505 Объем
Республиканская партия
69%
Демократическая партия
31%
$38,505 Объем
$38,505 Объем
Республиканская партия
69%
Демократическая партия
31%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Carolina's 1st congressional district carries a Republican lean reflected in its PVI rating and recent presidential voting patterns, positioning the Republican nominee as the frontrunner in the open-seat 2026 general election. Incumbent Nancy Mace's decision to run for governor instead of seeking reelection created the vacancy, drawing a crowded Republican primary while Democrats advanced multiple candidates through their June 9 primary. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district's history of GOP control outside one recent cycle. The DCCC's inclusion of the seat on its target list has drawn some national attention to Democratic efforts, yet the underlying electoral math and statewide partisan environment continue to anchor trader consensus around a Republican victory.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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