South Carolina's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in forecasters' unanimous Safe R or Solid R ratings ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent William Timmons secured the GOP nomination with a decisive primary victory in late July, limiting any internal party challenges and reinforcing his established position. The Democratic nominee faces structural headwinds in a district that has consistently favored Republican candidates. Trader consensus at 91.5% for the Republican Party aligns with these fundamentals, though late-cycle developments such as a major scandal, significant national political realignment, or unusually high Democratic turnout could still narrow the margin.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в палату представителей SC-04
Победитель выборов в палату представителей SC-04
$37,485 Объем
$37,485 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
92%
Демократическая партия
7%
$37,485 Объем
$37,485 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$17,724 Объем
92%
Демократическая партия
$19,760 Объем
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Carolina's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in forecasters' unanimous Safe R or Solid R ratings ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent William Timmons secured the GOP nomination with a decisive primary victory in late July, limiting any internal party challenges and reinforcing his established position. The Democratic nominee faces structural headwinds in a district that has consistently favored Republican candidates. Trader consensus at 91.5% for the Republican Party aligns with these fundamentals, though late-cycle developments such as a major scandal, significant national political realignment, or unusually high Democratic turnout could still narrow the margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Объем
$37,485Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Carolina's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in forecasters' unanimous Safe R or Solid R ratings ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent William Timmons secured the GOP nomination with a decisive primary victory in late July, limiting any internal party challenges and reinforcing his established position. The Democratic nominee faces structural headwinds in a district that has consistently favored Republican candidates. Trader consensus at 91.5% for the Republican Party aligns with these fundamentals, though late-cycle developments such as a major scandal, significant national political realignment, or unusually high Democratic turnout could still narrow the margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$37,485Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Carolina's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in forecasters' unanimous Safe R or Solid R ratings ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent William Timmons secured the GOP nomination with a decisive primary victory in late July, limiting any internal party challenges and reinforcing his established position. The Democratic nominee faces structural headwinds in a district that has consistently favored Republican candidates. Trader consensus at 91.5% for the Republican Party aligns with these fundamentals, though late-cycle developments such as a major scandal, significant national political realignment, or unusually high Democratic turnout could still narrow the margin.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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