Incumbent Republican Mike Rounds holds a commanding position in the 2026 South Dakota Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican lean, his established record since 2015, and a decisive June primary victory. The August withdrawal of the Democratic nominee further narrowed opposition to independent Brian Bengs, a retired military officer who previously ran unsuccessfully as a Democrat. Trader consensus aligns with nonpartisan ratings classifying the contest as safe or solid Republican, reflecting Rounds' substantial fundraising lead and historical margins exceeding 25 points. Recent polling shows leads of varying size but consistent advantage. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain limited and would likely require late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or sharp national political shift before November 3.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Сенат Южной Дакоты
Победитель выборов в Сенат Южной Дакоты
Майк Раундс (Р) 94.0%
Брайан Бенгс (независимый) 3.8%
Демократ <1%
$31,133 Объем
$31,133 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Майк Раундс (Р)
94%
Брайан Бенгс (независимый)
4%
Демократ
<1%
Майк Раундс (Р) 94.0%
Брайан Бенгс (независимый) 3.8%
Демократ <1%
$31,133 Объем
$31,133 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Майк Раундс (Р)
$17,772 Объем
94%
Брайан Бенгс (независимый)
$907 Объем
4%
Демократ
$12,454 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Dakota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Mike Rounds holds a commanding position in the 2026 South Dakota Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican lean, his established record since 2015, and a decisive June primary victory. The August withdrawal of the Democratic nominee further narrowed opposition to independent Brian Bengs, a retired military officer who previously ran unsuccessfully as a Democrat. Trader consensus aligns with nonpartisan ratings classifying the contest as safe or solid Republican, reflecting Rounds' substantial fundraising lead and historical margins exceeding 25 points. Recent polling shows leads of varying size but consistent advantage. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain limited and would likely require late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or sharp national political shift before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Dakota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Объем
$31,133Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Dakota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Mike Rounds holds a commanding position in the 2026 South Dakota Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican lean, his established record since 2015, and a decisive June primary victory. The August withdrawal of the Democratic nominee further narrowed opposition to independent Brian Bengs, a retired military officer who previously ran unsuccessfully as a Democrat. Trader consensus aligns with nonpartisan ratings classifying the contest as safe or solid Republican, reflecting Rounds' substantial fundraising lead and historical margins exceeding 25 points. Recent polling shows leads of varying size but consistent advantage. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain limited and would likely require late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or sharp national political shift before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Dakota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$31,133Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mike Rounds holds a commanding position in the 2026 South Dakota Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican lean, his established record since 2015, and a decisive June primary victory. The August withdrawal of the Democratic nominee further narrowed opposition to independent Brian Bengs, a retired military officer who previously ran unsuccessfully as a Democrat. Trader consensus aligns with nonpartisan ratings classifying the contest as safe or solid Republican, reflecting Rounds' substantial fundraising lead and historical margins exceeding 25 points. Recent polling shows leads of varying size but consistent advantage. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain limited and would likely require late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or sharp national political shift before November 3.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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