Incumbent Larry Rhoden secured the Republican nomination after defeating challenger Toby Doeden by a wide margin in the state's first gubernatorial primary runoff on July 28, consolidating support from other primary candidates in a solidly Republican state. South Dakota has not elected a Democratic governor since 1974, and forecasters rate the November 3 general election as a strong Republican hold. Rhoden's position benefits from his executive experience since succeeding Kristi Noem in 2025, unified party backing, and recent campaign focus on property tax relief and rural priorities. Dan Ahlers, the Democratic nominee and former state senator, faces structural headwinds in a state with consistent Republican dominance across statewide offices. Trader consensus at these levels reflects the limited realistic paths for an upset, primarily tied to unforeseen late developments such as major scandals or turnout anomalies within the remaining campaign window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов губернатора Южной Дакоты
Победитель выборов губернатора Южной Дакоты
$20,351 Объем
$20,351 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Ларри Роден (Р)
95%
Дэн Эйлерс (Д)
4%
$20,351 Объем
$20,351 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Ларри Роден (Р)
$7,655 Объем
95%
Дэн Эйлерс (Д)
$12,696 Объем
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 South Dakota gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Larry Rhoden secured the Republican nomination after defeating challenger Toby Doeden by a wide margin in the state's first gubernatorial primary runoff on July 28, consolidating support from other primary candidates in a solidly Republican state. South Dakota has not elected a Democratic governor since 1974, and forecasters rate the November 3 general election as a strong Republican hold. Rhoden's position benefits from his executive experience since succeeding Kristi Noem in 2025, unified party backing, and recent campaign focus on property tax relief and rural priorities. Dan Ahlers, the Democratic nominee and former state senator, faces structural headwinds in a state with consistent Republican dominance across statewide offices. Trader consensus at these levels reflects the limited realistic paths for an upset, primarily tied to unforeseen late developments such as major scandals or turnout anomalies within the remaining campaign window.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 South Dakota gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Объем
$20,351Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 South Dakota gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Larry Rhoden secured the Republican nomination after defeating challenger Toby Doeden by a wide margin in the state's first gubernatorial primary runoff on July 28, consolidating support from other primary candidates in a solidly Republican state. South Dakota has not elected a Democratic governor since 1974, and forecasters rate the November 3 general election as a strong Republican hold. Rhoden's position benefits from his executive experience since succeeding Kristi Noem in 2025, unified party backing, and recent campaign focus on property tax relief and rural priorities. Dan Ahlers, the Democratic nominee and former state senator, faces structural headwinds in a state with consistent Republican dominance across statewide offices. Trader consensus at these levels reflects the limited realistic paths for an upset, primarily tied to unforeseen late developments such as major scandals or turnout anomalies within the remaining campaign window.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 South Dakota gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$20,351Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Larry Rhoden secured the Republican nomination after defeating challenger Toby Doeden by a wide margin in the state's first gubernatorial primary runoff on July 28, consolidating support from other primary candidates in a solidly Republican state. South Dakota has not elected a Democratic governor since 1974, and forecasters rate the November 3 general election as a strong Republican hold. Rhoden's position benefits from his executive experience since succeeding Kristi Noem in 2025, unified party backing, and recent campaign focus on property tax relief and rural priorities. Dan Ahlers, the Democratic nominee and former state senator, faces structural headwinds in a state with consistent Republican dominance across statewide offices. Trader consensus at these levels reflects the limited realistic paths for an upset, primarily tied to unforeseen late developments such as major scandals or turnout anomalies within the remaining campaign window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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