Democratic incumbent John Mannion holds a clear edge in New York’s 22nd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, backed by the seat’s modest Democratic lean and his 2024 victory margin. Nonpartisan race analysts rate the contest Solid Democratic, citing limited Republican opposition and Mannion’s strong fundraising position, which includes a substantial cash-on-hand advantage over challenger Kailee Buller. The Democratic primary was canceled, allowing the incumbent to advance directly, while the Republican primary remains scheduled for late June. These structural and resource factors underpin current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee, though the race remains subject to standard midterm dynamics and any late shifts in national conditions.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей NY-22
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей NY-22
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
63%
Республиканская партия
45%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$866 Объем
63%
Республиканская партия
$807 Объем
45%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent John Mannion holds a clear edge in New York’s 22nd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, backed by the seat’s modest Democratic lean and his 2024 victory margin. Nonpartisan race analysts rate the contest Solid Democratic, citing limited Republican opposition and Mannion’s strong fundraising position, which includes a substantial cash-on-hand advantage over challenger Kailee Buller. The Democratic primary was canceled, allowing the incumbent to advance directly, while the Republican primary remains scheduled for late June. These structural and resource factors underpin current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee, though the race remains subject to standard midterm dynamics and any late shifts in national conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
Объем
$1,673Дата окончания
4 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent John Mannion holds a clear edge in New York’s 22nd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, backed by the seat’s modest Democratic lean and his 2024 victory margin. Nonpartisan race analysts rate the contest Solid Democratic, citing limited Republican opposition and Mannion’s strong fundraising position, which includes a substantial cash-on-hand advantage over challenger Kailee Buller. The Democratic primary was canceled, allowing the incumbent to advance directly, while the Republican primary remains scheduled for late June. These structural and resource factors underpin current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee, though the race remains subject to standard midterm dynamics and any late shifts in national conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$1,673Дата окончания
4 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent John Mannion holds a clear edge in New York’s 22nd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, backed by the seat’s modest Democratic lean and his 2024 victory margin. Nonpartisan race analysts rate the contest Solid Democratic, citing limited Republican opposition and Mannion’s strong fundraising position, which includes a substantial cash-on-hand advantage over challenger Kailee Buller. The Democratic primary was canceled, allowing the incumbent to advance directly, while the Republican primary remains scheduled for late June. These structural and resource factors underpin current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee, though the race remains subject to standard midterm dynamics and any late shifts in national conditions.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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