**The OH-09 race remains closely contested ahead of the November 3 general election, with trader pricing reflecting the impact of mid-decade redistricting that shifted the district toward a Republican lean after Democrat Marcy Kaptur’s narrow 2024 victory by roughly 2,400 votes.** Derek Merrin secured the GOP nomination in the May 5 primary, setting up a rematch against the long-serving Democratic incumbent. Ratings from outlets like Cook place the seat as a toss-up or lean Republican, while limited polling has shown small edges for either side depending on the survey. National midterm dynamics, including generic ballot trends and the district’s updated partisan voting index, continue to influence assessments of whether the new map will overcome Kaptur’s incumbency advantage in this swing district.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей OH-09
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей OH-09
$20,519 Объем
$20,519 Объем
4 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
57%
Республиканская партия
47%
$20,519 Объем
$20,519 Объем
4 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$440 Объем
57%
Республиканская партия
$20,079 Объем
47%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**The OH-09 race remains closely contested ahead of the November 3 general election, with trader pricing reflecting the impact of mid-decade redistricting that shifted the district toward a Republican lean after Democrat Marcy Kaptur’s narrow 2024 victory by roughly 2,400 votes.** Derek Merrin secured the GOP nomination in the May 5 primary, setting up a rematch against the long-serving Democratic incumbent. Ratings from outlets like Cook place the seat as a toss-up or lean Republican, while limited polling has shown small edges for either side depending on the survey. National midterm dynamics, including generic ballot trends and the district’s updated partisan voting index, continue to influence assessments of whether the new map will overcome Kaptur’s incumbency advantage in this swing district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
Объем
$20,519Дата окончания
4 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**The OH-09 race remains closely contested ahead of the November 3 general election, with trader pricing reflecting the impact of mid-decade redistricting that shifted the district toward a Republican lean after Democrat Marcy Kaptur’s narrow 2024 victory by roughly 2,400 votes.** Derek Merrin secured the GOP nomination in the May 5 primary, setting up a rematch against the long-serving Democratic incumbent. Ratings from outlets like Cook place the seat as a toss-up or lean Republican, while limited polling has shown small edges for either side depending on the survey. National midterm dynamics, including generic ballot trends and the district’s updated partisan voting index, continue to influence assessments of whether the new map will overcome Kaptur’s incumbency advantage in this swing district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$20,519Дата окончания
4 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**The OH-09 race remains closely contested ahead of the November 3 general election, with trader pricing reflecting the impact of mid-decade redistricting that shifted the district toward a Republican lean after Democrat Marcy Kaptur’s narrow 2024 victory by roughly 2,400 votes.** Derek Merrin secured the GOP nomination in the May 5 primary, setting up a rematch against the long-serving Democratic incumbent. Ratings from outlets like Cook place the seat as a toss-up or lean Republican, while limited polling has shown small edges for either side depending on the survey. National midterm dynamics, including generic ballot trends and the district’s updated partisan voting index, continue to influence assessments of whether the new map will overcome Kaptur’s incumbency advantage in this swing district.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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