Incumbent Democrat Marcy Kaptur’s decades of service and established voter base in northwest Ohio continue to anchor Democratic prospects in the redrawn Ninth District, even after mid-decade map changes that improved Republican positioning. Derek Merrin secured the GOP nomination in the May primary following a narrow 2024 loss, positioning him as the clear challenger in a seat now rated a toss-up by multiple forecasters. Recent polling shows a tight contest with margins under five points in either direction, while broader midterm dynamics and turnout patterns in this battleground district sustain trader expectations of a competitive November outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей OH-09
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей OH-09
$20,519 Объем
$20,519 Объем
4 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
62%
Республиканская партия
47%
$20,519 Объем
$20,519 Объем
4 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$440 Объем
62%
Республиканская партия
$20,079 Объем
47%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Marcy Kaptur’s decades of service and established voter base in northwest Ohio continue to anchor Democratic prospects in the redrawn Ninth District, even after mid-decade map changes that improved Republican positioning. Derek Merrin secured the GOP nomination in the May primary following a narrow 2024 loss, positioning him as the clear challenger in a seat now rated a toss-up by multiple forecasters. Recent polling shows a tight contest with margins under five points in either direction, while broader midterm dynamics and turnout patterns in this battleground district sustain trader expectations of a competitive November outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
Объем
$20,519Дата окончания
4 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Marcy Kaptur’s decades of service and established voter base in northwest Ohio continue to anchor Democratic prospects in the redrawn Ninth District, even after mid-decade map changes that improved Republican positioning. Derek Merrin secured the GOP nomination in the May primary following a narrow 2024 loss, positioning him as the clear challenger in a seat now rated a toss-up by multiple forecasters. Recent polling shows a tight contest with margins under five points in either direction, while broader midterm dynamics and turnout patterns in this battleground district sustain trader expectations of a competitive November outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$20,519Дата окончания
4 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Marcy Kaptur’s decades of service and established voter base in northwest Ohio continue to anchor Democratic prospects in the redrawn Ninth District, even after mid-decade map changes that improved Republican positioning. Derek Merrin secured the GOP nomination in the May primary following a narrow 2024 loss, positioning him as the clear challenger in a seat now rated a toss-up by multiple forecasters. Recent polling shows a tight contest with margins under five points in either direction, while broader midterm dynamics and turnout patterns in this battleground district sustain trader expectations of a competitive November outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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