Incumbent Democrat Marcy Kaptur, who has represented Ohio's 9th district since 1983, faces Republican Derek Merrin in the November 2026 general election after Merrin secured the GOP nomination in the May primary. The seat was redrawn in 2025 to add Republican-leaning areas, shifting the partisan voting index and allowing Donald Trump to carry the district by double digits in 2024. Despite this, Kaptur's established local organization, fundraising edge, and history of narrow wins in the Toledo-area district have shaped trader consensus around a Democratic hold. Upcoming campaign events and any late polling shifts could influence positioning ahead of Election Day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей OH-09
$27,465 Объем
$27,465 Объем
Демократическая партия
74%
Республиканская партия
27%
$27,465 Объем
$27,465 Объем
Демократическая партия
74%
Республиканская партия
27%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Marcy Kaptur, who has represented Ohio's 9th district since 1983, faces Republican Derek Merrin in the November 2026 general election after Merrin secured the GOP nomination in the May primary. The seat was redrawn in 2025 to add Republican-leaning areas, shifting the partisan voting index and allowing Donald Trump to carry the district by double digits in 2024. Despite this, Kaptur's established local organization, fundraising edge, and history of narrow wins in the Toledo-area district have shaped trader consensus around a Democratic hold. Upcoming campaign events and any late polling shifts could influence positioning ahead of Election Day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

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