Marcy Kaptur’s incumbency and name recognition continue to underpin Democratic Party shares near 60% in the OH-09 contest, even after mid-decade redistricting shifted the district’s partisan voting index toward Republicans. Derek Merrin’s May 2026 primary victory sets up a November 3 rematch following his narrow 2024 loss; recent polling shows the race within single digits, with one April survey placing Merrin ahead by four points. Traders appear to weigh Kaptur’s long tenure and fundraising edge against the new map and Republican efforts to nationalize the seat, leaving both parties’ contracts in the mid-40s to low-60s range ahead of the general election campaign.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей OH-09
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей OH-09
$20,519 Объем
$20,519 Объем
4 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
60%
Республиканская партия
47%
$20,519 Объем
$20,519 Объем
4 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$440 Объем
60%
Республиканская партия
$20,079 Объем
47%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Marcy Kaptur’s incumbency and name recognition continue to underpin Democratic Party shares near 60% in the OH-09 contest, even after mid-decade redistricting shifted the district’s partisan voting index toward Republicans. Derek Merrin’s May 2026 primary victory sets up a November 3 rematch following his narrow 2024 loss; recent polling shows the race within single digits, with one April survey placing Merrin ahead by four points. Traders appear to weigh Kaptur’s long tenure and fundraising edge against the new map and Republican efforts to nationalize the seat, leaving both parties’ contracts in the mid-40s to low-60s range ahead of the general election campaign.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
Объем
$20,519Дата окончания
4 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Marcy Kaptur’s incumbency and name recognition continue to underpin Democratic Party shares near 60% in the OH-09 contest, even after mid-decade redistricting shifted the district’s partisan voting index toward Republicans. Derek Merrin’s May 2026 primary victory sets up a November 3 rematch following his narrow 2024 loss; recent polling shows the race within single digits, with one April survey placing Merrin ahead by four points. Traders appear to weigh Kaptur’s long tenure and fundraising edge against the new map and Republican efforts to nationalize the seat, leaving both parties’ contracts in the mid-40s to low-60s range ahead of the general election campaign.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$20,519Дата окончания
4 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Marcy Kaptur’s incumbency and name recognition continue to underpin Democratic Party shares near 60% in the OH-09 contest, even after mid-decade redistricting shifted the district’s partisan voting index toward Republicans. Derek Merrin’s May 2026 primary victory sets up a November 3 rematch following his narrow 2024 loss; recent polling shows the race within single digits, with one April survey placing Merrin ahead by four points. Traders appear to weigh Kaptur’s long tenure and fundraising edge against the new map and Republican efforts to nationalize the seat, leaving both parties’ contracts in the mid-40s to low-60s range ahead of the general election campaign.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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