Incumbent Republican Glenn Grothman holds a commanding lead in Wisconsin’s 6th Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election. The east-central district, encompassing areas like Oshkosh, Sheboygan, and Fond du Lac, carries a consistent Republican tilt reflected in its partisan voting index and prior results, including Grothman’s 61 percent win in 2024. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Grothman advanced unopposed through the August 11 Republican primary, while Democrat Brad Smith narrowly secured his party’s nomination. Multiple independents and a Green Party candidate are also on the ballot, potentially fragmenting opposition support. May polling showed Grothman ahead of Smith by 22 points. Trader consensus aligns with these structural advantages, though a national Democratic wave, unusually strong independent performance, or late-breaking developments could narrow margins in the final weeks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоWI-06 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
WI-06 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$36,469 Объем
$36,469 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Гленн Гротман (Р)
92%
Брэд Смит (Д)
6%
$36,469 Объем
$36,469 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Гленн Гротман (Р)
$20,058 Объем
92%
Брэд Смит (Д)
$16,411 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Glenn Grothman holds a commanding lead in Wisconsin’s 6th Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election. The east-central district, encompassing areas like Oshkosh, Sheboygan, and Fond du Lac, carries a consistent Republican tilt reflected in its partisan voting index and prior results, including Grothman’s 61 percent win in 2024. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Grothman advanced unopposed through the August 11 Republican primary, while Democrat Brad Smith narrowly secured his party’s nomination. Multiple independents and a Green Party candidate are also on the ballot, potentially fragmenting opposition support. May polling showed Grothman ahead of Smith by 22 points. Trader consensus aligns with these structural advantages, though a national Democratic wave, unusually strong independent performance, or late-breaking developments could narrow margins in the final weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Объем
$36,469Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Glenn Grothman holds a commanding lead in Wisconsin’s 6th Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election. The east-central district, encompassing areas like Oshkosh, Sheboygan, and Fond du Lac, carries a consistent Republican tilt reflected in its partisan voting index and prior results, including Grothman’s 61 percent win in 2024. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Grothman advanced unopposed through the August 11 Republican primary, while Democrat Brad Smith narrowly secured his party’s nomination. Multiple independents and a Green Party candidate are also on the ballot, potentially fragmenting opposition support. May polling showed Grothman ahead of Smith by 22 points. Trader consensus aligns with these structural advantages, though a national Democratic wave, unusually strong independent performance, or late-breaking developments could narrow margins in the final weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$36,469Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Glenn Grothman holds a commanding lead in Wisconsin’s 6th Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election. The east-central district, encompassing areas like Oshkosh, Sheboygan, and Fond du Lac, carries a consistent Republican tilt reflected in its partisan voting index and prior results, including Grothman’s 61 percent win in 2024. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Grothman advanced unopposed through the August 11 Republican primary, while Democrat Brad Smith narrowly secured his party’s nomination. Multiple independents and a Green Party candidate are also on the ballot, potentially fragmenting opposition support. May polling showed Grothman ahead of Smith by 22 points. Trader consensus aligns with these structural advantages, though a national Democratic wave, unusually strong independent performance, or late-breaking developments could narrow margins in the final weeks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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