The solidly Democratic character of Wisconsin's 2nd Congressional District, with its D+21 Partisan Voter Index and consistent strong performance in Madison and surrounding areas, anchors trader consensus on a Democratic outcome in the November 3, 2026 general election. Incumbent Mark Pocan secured over 70 percent in 2024, and the June 1, 2026 filing deadline passed without a Republican candidate, leaving only a minor Democratic primary challenge from Douglas Alexander ahead of the August 11 contest. This structural absence of opposition has driven the lopsided implied probabilities. Late independent or write-in efforts or an unexpected primary shift remain possible but would face steep barriers in a district long rated safe Democratic by multiple analysts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей WI-02
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей WI-02
$91,275 Объем
$91,275 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
97%
Республиканская партия
4%
$91,275 Объем
$91,275 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$53,710 Объем
97%
Республиканская партия
$37,565 Объем
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solidly Democratic character of Wisconsin's 2nd Congressional District, with its D+21 Partisan Voter Index and consistent strong performance in Madison and surrounding areas, anchors trader consensus on a Democratic outcome in the November 3, 2026 general election. Incumbent Mark Pocan secured over 70 percent in 2024, and the June 1, 2026 filing deadline passed without a Republican candidate, leaving only a minor Democratic primary challenge from Douglas Alexander ahead of the August 11 contest. This structural absence of opposition has driven the lopsided implied probabilities. Late independent or write-in efforts or an unexpected primary shift remain possible but would face steep barriers in a district long rated safe Democratic by multiple analysts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Объем
$91,275Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solidly Democratic character of Wisconsin's 2nd Congressional District, with its D+21 Partisan Voter Index and consistent strong performance in Madison and surrounding areas, anchors trader consensus on a Democratic outcome in the November 3, 2026 general election. Incumbent Mark Pocan secured over 70 percent in 2024, and the June 1, 2026 filing deadline passed without a Republican candidate, leaving only a minor Democratic primary challenge from Douglas Alexander ahead of the August 11 contest. This structural absence of opposition has driven the lopsided implied probabilities. Late independent or write-in efforts or an unexpected primary shift remain possible but would face steep barriers in a district long rated safe Democratic by multiple analysts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$91,275Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The solidly Democratic character of Wisconsin's 2nd Congressional District, with its D+21 Partisan Voter Index and consistent strong performance in Madison and surrounding areas, anchors trader consensus on a Democratic outcome in the November 3, 2026 general election. Incumbent Mark Pocan secured over 70 percent in 2024, and the June 1, 2026 filing deadline passed without a Republican candidate, leaving only a minor Democratic primary challenge from Douglas Alexander ahead of the August 11 contest. This structural absence of opposition has driven the lopsided implied probabilities. Late independent or write-in efforts or an unexpected primary shift remain possible but would face steep barriers in a district long rated safe Democratic by multiple analysts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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