The absence of any Republican candidate filing by Wisconsin’s June 2026 nomination deadline in the solidly Democratic WI-02 district—anchored by Madison and won by incumbent Mark Pocan with over 70 percent in 2024—has cemented trader consensus around a Democratic victory. Pocan faces only a minor primary challenge from Douglas Alexander on August 11 before the November 3 general election. Historical voting patterns, fundraising advantages, and the district’s consistent partisan lean reinforce expectations of continued Democratic control, though an unforeseen withdrawal, health issue, or successful write-in effort could theoretically alter the outcome before ballots are cast.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей WI-02
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей WI-02
$91,275 Объем
$91,275 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
97%
Республиканская партия
2%
$91,275 Объем
$91,275 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$53,710 Объем
97%
Республиканская партия
$37,565 Объем
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The absence of any Republican candidate filing by Wisconsin’s June 2026 nomination deadline in the solidly Democratic WI-02 district—anchored by Madison and won by incumbent Mark Pocan with over 70 percent in 2024—has cemented trader consensus around a Democratic victory. Pocan faces only a minor primary challenge from Douglas Alexander on August 11 before the November 3 general election. Historical voting patterns, fundraising advantages, and the district’s consistent partisan lean reinforce expectations of continued Democratic control, though an unforeseen withdrawal, health issue, or successful write-in effort could theoretically alter the outcome before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Объем
$91,275Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The absence of any Republican candidate filing by Wisconsin’s June 2026 nomination deadline in the solidly Democratic WI-02 district—anchored by Madison and won by incumbent Mark Pocan with over 70 percent in 2024—has cemented trader consensus around a Democratic victory. Pocan faces only a minor primary challenge from Douglas Alexander on August 11 before the November 3 general election. Historical voting patterns, fundraising advantages, and the district’s consistent partisan lean reinforce expectations of continued Democratic control, though an unforeseen withdrawal, health issue, or successful write-in effort could theoretically alter the outcome before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$91,275Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The absence of any Republican candidate filing by Wisconsin’s June 2026 nomination deadline in the solidly Democratic WI-02 district—anchored by Madison and won by incumbent Mark Pocan with over 70 percent in 2024—has cemented trader consensus around a Democratic victory. Pocan faces only a minor primary challenge from Douglas Alexander on August 11 before the November 3 general election. Historical voting patterns, fundraising advantages, and the district’s consistent partisan lean reinforce expectations of continued Democratic control, though an unforeseen withdrawal, health issue, or successful write-in effort could theoretically alter the outcome before ballots are cast.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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