Wisconsin's 2nd congressional district, anchored in the Democratic stronghold of Madison and surrounding areas, has favored Democratic candidates by wide margins in recent cycles, including incumbent Mark Pocan's 70% reelection in 2024. With the August 2026 primaries still ahead and only a minor intraparty challenger filed against Pocan on the Democratic side, traders see little risk of an upset in the general election on November 3. The Republican primary field remains thin following candidate withdrawals, leaving no evident path for meaningful opposition. This structural advantage, combined with the district's consistent partisan lean and the incumbent's fundraising and name recognition, underpins the strong consensus favoring a Democratic hold. A late scandal, health issue, or surprise independent bid could theoretically alter dynamics before November, though such developments remain low-probability based on current filings and district fundamentals.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей WI-02
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей WI-02
$91,275 Объем
$91,275 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
97%
Республиканская партия
2%
$91,275 Объем
$91,275 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$53,710 Объем
97%
Республиканская партия
$37,565 Объем
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wisconsin's 2nd congressional district, anchored in the Democratic stronghold of Madison and surrounding areas, has favored Democratic candidates by wide margins in recent cycles, including incumbent Mark Pocan's 70% reelection in 2024. With the August 2026 primaries still ahead and only a minor intraparty challenger filed against Pocan on the Democratic side, traders see little risk of an upset in the general election on November 3. The Republican primary field remains thin following candidate withdrawals, leaving no evident path for meaningful opposition. This structural advantage, combined with the district's consistent partisan lean and the incumbent's fundraising and name recognition, underpins the strong consensus favoring a Democratic hold. A late scandal, health issue, or surprise independent bid could theoretically alter dynamics before November, though such developments remain low-probability based on current filings and district fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Объем
$91,275Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wisconsin's 2nd congressional district, anchored in the Democratic stronghold of Madison and surrounding areas, has favored Democratic candidates by wide margins in recent cycles, including incumbent Mark Pocan's 70% reelection in 2024. With the August 2026 primaries still ahead and only a minor intraparty challenger filed against Pocan on the Democratic side, traders see little risk of an upset in the general election on November 3. The Republican primary field remains thin following candidate withdrawals, leaving no evident path for meaningful opposition. This structural advantage, combined with the district's consistent partisan lean and the incumbent's fundraising and name recognition, underpins the strong consensus favoring a Democratic hold. A late scandal, health issue, or surprise independent bid could theoretically alter dynamics before November, though such developments remain low-probability based on current filings and district fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$91,275Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wisconsin's 2nd congressional district, anchored in the Democratic stronghold of Madison and surrounding areas, has favored Democratic candidates by wide margins in recent cycles, including incumbent Mark Pocan's 70% reelection in 2024. With the August 2026 primaries still ahead and only a minor intraparty challenger filed against Pocan on the Democratic side, traders see little risk of an upset in the general election on November 3. The Republican primary field remains thin following candidate withdrawals, leaving no evident path for meaningful opposition. This structural advantage, combined with the district's consistent partisan lean and the incumbent's fundraising and name recognition, underpins the strong consensus favoring a Democratic hold. A late scandal, health issue, or surprise independent bid could theoretically alter dynamics before November, though such developments remain low-probability based on current filings and district fundamentals.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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