The Texas 19th congressional district's entrenched Republican lean, reflected in consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates and strong recent presidential results in the region, anchors trader expectations for a Republican victory in the November 3 general election. After incumbent Jodey Arrington retired, Tom Sell secured the GOP nomination in the May 26 runoff, facing Democrat Kyle Rable. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district's voting-age demographics and lack of competitive indicators. With roughly two months until Election Day, traders assign a commanding edge to the Republican outcome. Scenarios that could shift probabilities remain limited to late developments such as candidate withdrawal, major scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout in a low-visibility contest.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоTX-19 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
TX-19 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$24,927 Объем
$24,927 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
95%
Демократическая партия
5%
$24,927 Объем
$24,927 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$2,921 Объем
95%
Демократическая партия
$22,006 Объем
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Texas 19th congressional district's entrenched Republican lean, reflected in consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates and strong recent presidential results in the region, anchors trader expectations for a Republican victory in the November 3 general election. After incumbent Jodey Arrington retired, Tom Sell secured the GOP nomination in the May 26 runoff, facing Democrat Kyle Rable. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district's voting-age demographics and lack of competitive indicators. With roughly two months until Election Day, traders assign a commanding edge to the Republican outcome. Scenarios that could shift probabilities remain limited to late developments such as candidate withdrawal, major scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout in a low-visibility contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Объем
$24,927Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Texas 19th congressional district's entrenched Republican lean, reflected in consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates and strong recent presidential results in the region, anchors trader expectations for a Republican victory in the November 3 general election. After incumbent Jodey Arrington retired, Tom Sell secured the GOP nomination in the May 26 runoff, facing Democrat Kyle Rable. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district's voting-age demographics and lack of competitive indicators. With roughly two months until Election Day, traders assign a commanding edge to the Republican outcome. Scenarios that could shift probabilities remain limited to late developments such as candidate withdrawal, major scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout in a low-visibility contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$24,927Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...The Texas 19th congressional district's entrenched Republican lean, reflected in consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates and strong recent presidential results in the region, anchors trader expectations for a Republican victory in the November 3 general election. After incumbent Jodey Arrington retired, Tom Sell secured the GOP nomination in the May 26 runoff, facing Democrat Kyle Rable. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district's voting-age demographics and lack of competitive indicators. With roughly two months until Election Day, traders assign a commanding edge to the Republican outcome. Scenarios that could shift probabilities remain limited to late developments such as candidate withdrawal, major scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout in a low-visibility contest.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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