Incumbent Republican Mike Ezell holds a commanding lead in the MS-04 House race due to the district's strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+21 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles. Ezell secured renomination with over 80 percent in the March 2026 primary against a minor challenger, while Democratic nominee Jeffrey Hulum III prevailed in a fragmented primary but enters the general with limited name recognition and resources. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, and no major late-cycle shifts in polling, endorsements, or campaign finance have altered the outlook ahead of the November 3 general election. A surprise scandal or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though both remain low-probability factors in this environment.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоMS-04 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
MS-04 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$40,274 Объем
$40,274 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Майк Эзелл (Р)
97%
Джеффри Хулум III (Д)
3%
$40,274 Объем
$40,274 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Майк Эзелл (Р)
$25,185 Объем
97%
Джеффри Хулум III (Д)
$15,090 Объем
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Ezell holds a commanding lead in the MS-04 House race due to the district's strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+21 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles. Ezell secured renomination with over 80 percent in the March 2026 primary against a minor challenger, while Democratic nominee Jeffrey Hulum III prevailed in a fragmented primary but enters the general with limited name recognition and resources. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, and no major late-cycle shifts in polling, endorsements, or campaign finance have altered the outlook ahead of the November 3 general election. A surprise scandal or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though both remain low-probability factors in this environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Объем
$40,274Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Ezell holds a commanding lead in the MS-04 House race due to the district's strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+21 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles. Ezell secured renomination with over 80 percent in the March 2026 primary against a minor challenger, while Democratic nominee Jeffrey Hulum III prevailed in a fragmented primary but enters the general with limited name recognition and resources. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, and no major late-cycle shifts in polling, endorsements, or campaign finance have altered the outlook ahead of the November 3 general election. A surprise scandal or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though both remain low-probability factors in this environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$40,274Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mike Ezell holds a commanding lead in the MS-04 House race due to the district's strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+21 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles. Ezell secured renomination with over 80 percent in the March 2026 primary against a minor challenger, while Democratic nominee Jeffrey Hulum III prevailed in a fragmented primary but enters the general with limited name recognition and resources. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, and no major late-cycle shifts in polling, endorsements, or campaign finance have altered the outlook ahead of the November 3 general election. A surprise scandal or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though both remain low-probability factors in this environment.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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