Incumbent Republican Mike Ezell secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with over 84 percent of the vote, advancing to face Democratic nominee Jeffrey Hulum III in the November general election for Mississippi's 4th congressional district. The Gulf Coast district, which includes Gulfport and Biloxi, has consistently favored Republicans in recent cycles, reflected in the incumbent's prior 74 percent general election margin. Cook Political Report classifies the seat as solidly Republican, aligning with trader consensus that favors the Republican Party at 57.7 percent implied probability. With primaries resolved months ago and no major subsequent developments such as candidate withdrawals or shifting national midterm dynamics reported in the past 30 days, the race remains defined by established partisan patterns and incumbency advantages.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоMS-04 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
MS-04 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$23,880 Объем
$23,880 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
57%
Демократическая партия
8%
$23,880 Объем
$23,880 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$9,542 Объем
57%
Демократическая партия
$14,338 Объем
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Ezell secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with over 84 percent of the vote, advancing to face Democratic nominee Jeffrey Hulum III in the November general election for Mississippi's 4th congressional district. The Gulf Coast district, which includes Gulfport and Biloxi, has consistently favored Republicans in recent cycles, reflected in the incumbent's prior 74 percent general election margin. Cook Political Report classifies the seat as solidly Republican, aligning with trader consensus that favors the Republican Party at 57.7 percent implied probability. With primaries resolved months ago and no major subsequent developments such as candidate withdrawals or shifting national midterm dynamics reported in the past 30 days, the race remains defined by established partisan patterns and incumbency advantages.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Объем
$23,880Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Ezell secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with over 84 percent of the vote, advancing to face Democratic nominee Jeffrey Hulum III in the November general election for Mississippi's 4th congressional district. The Gulf Coast district, which includes Gulfport and Biloxi, has consistently favored Republicans in recent cycles, reflected in the incumbent's prior 74 percent general election margin. Cook Political Report classifies the seat as solidly Republican, aligning with trader consensus that favors the Republican Party at 57.7 percent implied probability. With primaries resolved months ago and no major subsequent developments such as candidate withdrawals or shifting national midterm dynamics reported in the past 30 days, the race remains defined by established partisan patterns and incumbency advantages.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$23,880Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mike Ezell secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with over 84 percent of the vote, advancing to face Democratic nominee Jeffrey Hulum III in the November general election for Mississippi's 4th congressional district. The Gulf Coast district, which includes Gulfport and Biloxi, has consistently favored Republicans in recent cycles, reflected in the incumbent's prior 74 percent general election margin. Cook Political Report classifies the seat as solidly Republican, aligning with trader consensus that favors the Republican Party at 57.7 percent implied probability. With primaries resolved months ago and no major subsequent developments such as candidate withdrawals or shifting national midterm dynamics reported in the past 30 days, the race remains defined by established partisan patterns and incumbency advantages.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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