Michael Guest holds a commanding lead in the MS-03 race due to the district’s strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+14 partisan voter index and consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. As a three-term incumbent and former district attorney, Guest advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Republican primary and maintains substantial fundraising and institutional advantages heading into the November 3 general election. Democratic nominee Michael Chiaradio, a first-time candidate and farmer, secured his party’s nomination without opposition but faces structural barriers in a district that includes Meridian, Starkville, Pearl, and Republican-leaning portions of the Jackson area. A Libertarian candidate is also on the ballot. Late developments such as a major scandal or national political shift could theoretically alter the outcome, though current conditions show limited competitive pressure.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей MS-03
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей MS-03
$62,011 Объем
$62,011 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Майкл Гест (Р)
97%
Майкл Кьарадио (Д)
<1%
$62,011 Объем
$62,011 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Майкл Гест (Р)
$22,644 Объем
97%
Майкл Кьарадио (Д)
$39,366 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michael Guest holds a commanding lead in the MS-03 race due to the district’s strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+14 partisan voter index and consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. As a three-term incumbent and former district attorney, Guest advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Republican primary and maintains substantial fundraising and institutional advantages heading into the November 3 general election. Democratic nominee Michael Chiaradio, a first-time candidate and farmer, secured his party’s nomination without opposition but faces structural barriers in a district that includes Meridian, Starkville, Pearl, and Republican-leaning portions of the Jackson area. A Libertarian candidate is also on the ballot. Late developments such as a major scandal or national political shift could theoretically alter the outcome, though current conditions show limited competitive pressure.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Объем
$62,011Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michael Guest holds a commanding lead in the MS-03 race due to the district’s strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+14 partisan voter index and consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. As a three-term incumbent and former district attorney, Guest advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Republican primary and maintains substantial fundraising and institutional advantages heading into the November 3 general election. Democratic nominee Michael Chiaradio, a first-time candidate and farmer, secured his party’s nomination without opposition but faces structural barriers in a district that includes Meridian, Starkville, Pearl, and Republican-leaning portions of the Jackson area. A Libertarian candidate is also on the ballot. Late developments such as a major scandal or national political shift could theoretically alter the outcome, though current conditions show limited competitive pressure.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$62,011Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Michael Guest holds a commanding lead in the MS-03 race due to the district’s strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+14 partisan voter index and consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. As a three-term incumbent and former district attorney, Guest advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Republican primary and maintains substantial fundraising and institutional advantages heading into the November 3 general election. Democratic nominee Michael Chiaradio, a first-time candidate and farmer, secured his party’s nomination without opposition but faces structural barriers in a district that includes Meridian, Starkville, Pearl, and Republican-leaning portions of the Jackson area. A Libertarian candidate is also on the ballot. Late developments such as a major scandal or national political shift could theoretically alter the outcome, though current conditions show limited competitive pressure.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы