Mississippi’s 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+14 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Michael Guest, first elected in 2018, secured the Republican nomination without opposition in the March 2026 primary, while Democrat Michael Chiaradio advanced unopposed on the other side. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district’s voting patterns and limited Democratic infrastructure. Trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome aligns with these structural factors and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the balance. A late scandal, significant health event affecting the incumbent, or an unforeseen national political shift could theoretically narrow the gap, though historical precedent in this district shows such reversals as rare.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей MS-03
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей MS-03
$33,643 Объем
$33,643 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
94%
Демократическая партия
6%
$33,643 Объем
$33,643 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$8,585 Объем
94%
Демократическая партия
$25,059 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mississippi’s 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+14 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Michael Guest, first elected in 2018, secured the Republican nomination without opposition in the March 2026 primary, while Democrat Michael Chiaradio advanced unopposed on the other side. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district’s voting patterns and limited Democratic infrastructure. Trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome aligns with these structural factors and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the balance. A late scandal, significant health event affecting the incumbent, or an unforeseen national political shift could theoretically narrow the gap, though historical precedent in this district shows such reversals as rare.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Объем
$33,643Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mississippi’s 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+14 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Michael Guest, first elected in 2018, secured the Republican nomination without opposition in the March 2026 primary, while Democrat Michael Chiaradio advanced unopposed on the other side. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district’s voting patterns and limited Democratic infrastructure. Trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome aligns with these structural factors and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the balance. A late scandal, significant health event affecting the incumbent, or an unforeseen national political shift could theoretically narrow the gap, though historical precedent in this district shows such reversals as rare.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$33,643Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mississippi’s 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+14 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Michael Guest, first elected in 2018, secured the Republican nomination without opposition in the March 2026 primary, while Democrat Michael Chiaradio advanced unopposed on the other side. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district’s voting patterns and limited Democratic infrastructure. Trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome aligns with these structural factors and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the balance. A late scandal, significant health event affecting the incumbent, or an unforeseen national political shift could theoretically narrow the gap, though historical precedent in this district shows such reversals as rare.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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