Incumbent Democrat Kelly Morrison holds a commanding position in Minnesota's 3rd congressional district, a seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+11 that delivered her a comfortable 2024 victory. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, underscoring the district's suburban Minneapolis-area demographics and consistent preference for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Traders price the Democratic outcome near 92.5 percent, consistent with historical patterns favoring incumbents in similarly leaning districts absent major disruptions. Potential shifts could arise from an unexpectedly strong national Republican environment ahead of the November 2026 general election, significant campaign controversies, health developments affecting the incumbent, or unusual primary volatility before the August 11 contests.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей MN-03
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей MN-03
$10,058 Объем
$10,058 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
93%
Республиканская партия
7%
$10,058 Объем
$10,058 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$6,165 Объем
93%
Республиканская партия
$3,893 Объем
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Kelly Morrison holds a commanding position in Minnesota's 3rd congressional district, a seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+11 that delivered her a comfortable 2024 victory. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, underscoring the district's suburban Minneapolis-area demographics and consistent preference for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Traders price the Democratic outcome near 92.5 percent, consistent with historical patterns favoring incumbents in similarly leaning districts absent major disruptions. Potential shifts could arise from an unexpectedly strong national Republican environment ahead of the November 2026 general election, significant campaign controversies, health developments affecting the incumbent, or unusual primary volatility before the August 11 contests.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Объем
$10,058Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Kelly Morrison holds a commanding position in Minnesota's 3rd congressional district, a seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+11 that delivered her a comfortable 2024 victory. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, underscoring the district's suburban Minneapolis-area demographics and consistent preference for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Traders price the Democratic outcome near 92.5 percent, consistent with historical patterns favoring incumbents in similarly leaning districts absent major disruptions. Potential shifts could arise from an unexpectedly strong national Republican environment ahead of the November 2026 general election, significant campaign controversies, health developments affecting the incumbent, or unusual primary volatility before the August 11 contests.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$10,058Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Kelly Morrison holds a commanding position in Minnesota's 3rd congressional district, a seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+11 that delivered her a comfortable 2024 victory. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, underscoring the district's suburban Minneapolis-area demographics and consistent preference for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Traders price the Democratic outcome near 92.5 percent, consistent with historical patterns favoring incumbents in similarly leaning districts absent major disruptions. Potential shifts could arise from an unexpectedly strong national Republican environment ahead of the November 2026 general election, significant campaign controversies, health developments affecting the incumbent, or unusual primary volatility before the August 11 contests.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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