Kelly Morrison's strong position as the Democratic incumbent in Minnesota's 3rd Congressional District stems from the area's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in her 2024 victory margin and the district's partisan voting index. She secured her party's nomination without opposition in the August 11 primary, while Republican nominee Tyler Bass prevailed in a competitive primary against Quentin Wittrock. Forecasters rate the race as solid or safe Democratic, consistent with historical patterns where Republicans have not won the seat since 2016. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors, including Morrison's established fundraising and name recognition. A shift would require major developments such as national political realignment, significant candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high Republican turnout in suburban areas before the November 3 general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей MN-03
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей MN-03
$21,966 Объем
$21,966 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Келли Моррисон (Д)
95%
Тайлер Басс (Р)
6%
$21,966 Объем
$21,966 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Келли Моррисон (Д)
$12,428 Объем
95%
Тайлер Басс (Р)
$9,538 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kelly Morrison's strong position as the Democratic incumbent in Minnesota's 3rd Congressional District stems from the area's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in her 2024 victory margin and the district's partisan voting index. She secured her party's nomination without opposition in the August 11 primary, while Republican nominee Tyler Bass prevailed in a competitive primary against Quentin Wittrock. Forecasters rate the race as solid or safe Democratic, consistent with historical patterns where Republicans have not won the seat since 2016. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors, including Morrison's established fundraising and name recognition. A shift would require major developments such as national political realignment, significant candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high Republican turnout in suburban areas before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Объем
$21,966Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kelly Morrison's strong position as the Democratic incumbent in Minnesota's 3rd Congressional District stems from the area's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in her 2024 victory margin and the district's partisan voting index. She secured her party's nomination without opposition in the August 11 primary, while Republican nominee Tyler Bass prevailed in a competitive primary against Quentin Wittrock. Forecasters rate the race as solid or safe Democratic, consistent with historical patterns where Republicans have not won the seat since 2016. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors, including Morrison's established fundraising and name recognition. A shift would require major developments such as national political realignment, significant candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high Republican turnout in suburban areas before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$21,966Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Kelly Morrison's strong position as the Democratic incumbent in Minnesota's 3rd Congressional District stems from the area's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in her 2024 victory margin and the district's partisan voting index. She secured her party's nomination without opposition in the August 11 primary, while Republican nominee Tyler Bass prevailed in a competitive primary against Quentin Wittrock. Forecasters rate the race as solid or safe Democratic, consistent with historical patterns where Republicans have not won the seat since 2016. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors, including Morrison's established fundraising and name recognition. A shift would require major developments such as national political realignment, significant candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high Republican turnout in suburban areas before the November 3 general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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