Massachusetts's 1st congressional district maintains a consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+8 partisan voter index and unanimous "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from nonpartisan analysts ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Richard Neal, first elected in 1988 and currently the top Democrat on the Ways and Means Committee, faces only a minor primary challenge and no meaningful Republican opposition, consistent with the state's all-Democratic House delegation since 1994. Traders price in these structural factors, including limited Republican recruitment and the district's voting patterns in recent presidential cycles. A late scandal, Neal retirement, or unprecedented national GOP surge could narrow the margin, though historical data and current candidate filings indicate few realistic paths to an upset.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоMA-01 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
MA-01 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$12,958 Объем
$12,958 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
94%
Республиканская партия
7%
$12,958 Объем
$12,958 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$7,946 Объем
94%
Республиканская партия
$5,012 Объем
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Massachusetts's 1st congressional district maintains a consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+8 partisan voter index and unanimous "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from nonpartisan analysts ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Richard Neal, first elected in 1988 and currently the top Democrat on the Ways and Means Committee, faces only a minor primary challenge and no meaningful Republican opposition, consistent with the state's all-Democratic House delegation since 1994. Traders price in these structural factors, including limited Republican recruitment and the district's voting patterns in recent presidential cycles. A late scandal, Neal retirement, or unprecedented national GOP surge could narrow the margin, though historical data and current candidate filings indicate few realistic paths to an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Объем
$12,958Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Massachusetts's 1st congressional district maintains a consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+8 partisan voter index and unanimous "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from nonpartisan analysts ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Richard Neal, first elected in 1988 and currently the top Democrat on the Ways and Means Committee, faces only a minor primary challenge and no meaningful Republican opposition, consistent with the state's all-Democratic House delegation since 1994. Traders price in these structural factors, including limited Republican recruitment and the district's voting patterns in recent presidential cycles. A late scandal, Neal retirement, or unprecedented national GOP surge could narrow the margin, though historical data and current candidate filings indicate few realistic paths to an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$12,958Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Massachusetts's 1st congressional district maintains a consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+8 partisan voter index and unanimous "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from nonpartisan analysts ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Richard Neal, first elected in 1988 and currently the top Democrat on the Ways and Means Committee, faces only a minor primary challenge and no meaningful Republican opposition, consistent with the state's all-Democratic House delegation since 1994. Traders price in these structural factors, including limited Republican recruitment and the district's voting patterns in recent presidential cycles. A late scandal, Neal retirement, or unprecedented national GOP surge could narrow the margin, though historical data and current candidate filings indicate few realistic paths to an upset.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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