Incumbent Democrat Bennie Thompson secured the Democratic nomination for Mississippi’s 2nd congressional district with 86% of the primary vote in March 2026, while Republican Ron Eller advanced from a narrow primary contest. The district’s strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its partisan voting index and Thompson’s consistent reelection margins including 62% in 2024, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 89%. In May 2026, Republican Governor Tate Reeves canceled a planned special session on congressional redistricting, removing a potential source of map changes that could have altered the district’s composition ahead of the November 3 general election. These factors have stabilized the implied probability reflected in current market pricing.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоMS-02 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
MS-02 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$26,093 Объем
$26,093 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
89%
Республиканская партия
9%
$26,093 Объем
$26,093 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$13,767 Объем
89%
Республиканская партия
$12,325 Объем
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Bennie Thompson secured the Democratic nomination for Mississippi’s 2nd congressional district with 86% of the primary vote in March 2026, while Republican Ron Eller advanced from a narrow primary contest. The district’s strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its partisan voting index and Thompson’s consistent reelection margins including 62% in 2024, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 89%. In May 2026, Republican Governor Tate Reeves canceled a planned special session on congressional redistricting, removing a potential source of map changes that could have altered the district’s composition ahead of the November 3 general election. These factors have stabilized the implied probability reflected in current market pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Объем
$26,093Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Bennie Thompson secured the Democratic nomination for Mississippi’s 2nd congressional district with 86% of the primary vote in March 2026, while Republican Ron Eller advanced from a narrow primary contest. The district’s strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its partisan voting index and Thompson’s consistent reelection margins including 62% in 2024, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 89%. In May 2026, Republican Governor Tate Reeves canceled a planned special session on congressional redistricting, removing a potential source of map changes that could have altered the district’s composition ahead of the November 3 general election. These factors have stabilized the implied probability reflected in current market pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$26,093Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Bennie Thompson secured the Democratic nomination for Mississippi’s 2nd congressional district with 86% of the primary vote in March 2026, while Republican Ron Eller advanced from a narrow primary contest. The district’s strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its partisan voting index and Thompson’s consistent reelection margins including 62% in 2024, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 89%. In May 2026, Republican Governor Tate Reeves canceled a planned special session on congressional redistricting, removing a potential source of map changes that could have altered the district’s composition ahead of the November 3 general election. These factors have stabilized the implied probability reflected in current market pricing.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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