Bennie Thompson's decisive Democratic primary victory and the district's entrenched partisan lean continue to anchor trader consensus around an 89% probability for the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. Mississippi's 2nd district encompasses the Delta region and Jackson, where Democratic registration and voting patterns have produced consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, including Thompson's 62% win in 2024. Cook Political Report maintains its Solid Democratic rating, reflecting a partisan voting index advantage exceeding D+11. Thompson, seeking an 18th term after fending off primary challengers with 86% support, faces Republican nominee Ron Eller, who prevailed narrowly in his March primary. With the general election still months away and no major shifts in candidate positioning or turnout indicators, the market's 10% Republican probability reflects the structural barriers in this historically Democratic-leaning seat.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоMS-02 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
MS-02 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$26,095 Объем
$26,095 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
89%
Республиканская партия
10%
$26,095 Объем
$26,095 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$13,768 Объем
89%
Республиканская партия
$12,327 Объем
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Bennie Thompson's decisive Democratic primary victory and the district's entrenched partisan lean continue to anchor trader consensus around an 89% probability for the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. Mississippi's 2nd district encompasses the Delta region and Jackson, where Democratic registration and voting patterns have produced consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, including Thompson's 62% win in 2024. Cook Political Report maintains its Solid Democratic rating, reflecting a partisan voting index advantage exceeding D+11. Thompson, seeking an 18th term after fending off primary challengers with 86% support, faces Republican nominee Ron Eller, who prevailed narrowly in his March primary. With the general election still months away and no major shifts in candidate positioning or turnout indicators, the market's 10% Republican probability reflects the structural barriers in this historically Democratic-leaning seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Объем
$26,095Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Bennie Thompson's decisive Democratic primary victory and the district's entrenched partisan lean continue to anchor trader consensus around an 89% probability for the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. Mississippi's 2nd district encompasses the Delta region and Jackson, where Democratic registration and voting patterns have produced consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, including Thompson's 62% win in 2024. Cook Political Report maintains its Solid Democratic rating, reflecting a partisan voting index advantage exceeding D+11. Thompson, seeking an 18th term after fending off primary challengers with 86% support, faces Republican nominee Ron Eller, who prevailed narrowly in his March primary. With the general election still months away and no major shifts in candidate positioning or turnout indicators, the market's 10% Republican probability reflects the structural barriers in this historically Democratic-leaning seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$26,095Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Bennie Thompson's decisive Democratic primary victory and the district's entrenched partisan lean continue to anchor trader consensus around an 89% probability for the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. Mississippi's 2nd district encompasses the Delta region and Jackson, where Democratic registration and voting patterns have produced consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, including Thompson's 62% win in 2024. Cook Political Report maintains its Solid Democratic rating, reflecting a partisan voting index advantage exceeding D+11. Thompson, seeking an 18th term after fending off primary challengers with 86% support, faces Republican nominee Ron Eller, who prevailed narrowly in his March primary. With the general election still months away and no major shifts in candidate positioning or turnout indicators, the market's 10% Republican probability reflects the structural barriers in this historically Democratic-leaning seat.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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