Bennie Thompson's 17-term incumbency and the Mississippi 2nd District's majority-Black demographics have anchored his commanding position, with forecasters rating the seat Solid Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Thompson secured an easy Democratic primary win and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, holding over $1.4 million in cash on hand against Ron Eller's roughly $36,000. Eller, a repeat Republican nominee and military veteran who prevailed in his primary, has focused on economic growth and border security but trails by wide historical margins in this district. An independent candidate adds little competitive pressure. Trader consensus on Thompson's strong lead reflects these structural and resource advantages, though late developments such as health issues or unforeseen turnout shifts could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоMS-02 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
MS-02 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$38,889 Объем
$38,889 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Бенни Томпсон (Д)
94%
Рон Эллер (Р)
7%
$38,889 Объем
$38,889 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Бенни Томпсон (Д)
$22,632 Объем
94%
Рон Эллер (Р)
$16,257 Объем
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Bennie Thompson's 17-term incumbency and the Mississippi 2nd District's majority-Black demographics have anchored his commanding position, with forecasters rating the seat Solid Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Thompson secured an easy Democratic primary win and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, holding over $1.4 million in cash on hand against Ron Eller's roughly $36,000. Eller, a repeat Republican nominee and military veteran who prevailed in his primary, has focused on economic growth and border security but trails by wide historical margins in this district. An independent candidate adds little competitive pressure. Trader consensus on Thompson's strong lead reflects these structural and resource advantages, though late developments such as health issues or unforeseen turnout shifts could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Объем
$38,889Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Bennie Thompson's 17-term incumbency and the Mississippi 2nd District's majority-Black demographics have anchored his commanding position, with forecasters rating the seat Solid Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Thompson secured an easy Democratic primary win and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, holding over $1.4 million in cash on hand against Ron Eller's roughly $36,000. Eller, a repeat Republican nominee and military veteran who prevailed in his primary, has focused on economic growth and border security but trails by wide historical margins in this district. An independent candidate adds little competitive pressure. Trader consensus on Thompson's strong lead reflects these structural and resource advantages, though late developments such as health issues or unforeseen turnout shifts could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$38,889Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Bennie Thompson's 17-term incumbency and the Mississippi 2nd District's majority-Black demographics have anchored his commanding position, with forecasters rating the seat Solid Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Thompson secured an easy Democratic primary win and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, holding over $1.4 million in cash on hand against Ron Eller's roughly $36,000. Eller, a repeat Republican nominee and military veteran who prevailed in his primary, has focused on economic growth and border security but trails by wide historical margins in this district. An independent candidate adds little competitive pressure. Trader consensus on Thompson's strong lead reflects these structural and resource advantages, though late developments such as health issues or unforeseen turnout shifts could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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