Valerie Foushee’s commanding position in the NC-04 House race stems from the district’s strong Democratic fundamentals, including its D+23 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent large margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. The incumbent secured renomination in a competitive March 2026 primary against Nida Allam, then advanced to face limited Republican opposition from Mahesh Ganorkar in the November general election. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that places Foushee at 94.5 percent implied probability. A national Republican wave, late-breaking scandal involving the incumbent, or unforeseen turnout shifts could theoretically narrow the outcome, though structural factors make such changes improbable before Election Day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоNC-04 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
NC-04 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$45,730 Объем
$45,730 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Валери Фуши (Д)
95%
Макс Ганоркар (Р)
3%
$45,730 Объем
$45,730 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Валери Фуши (Д)
$14,801 Объем
95%
Макс Ганоркар (Р)
$30,929 Объем
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Valerie Foushee’s commanding position in the NC-04 House race stems from the district’s strong Democratic fundamentals, including its D+23 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent large margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. The incumbent secured renomination in a competitive March 2026 primary against Nida Allam, then advanced to face limited Republican opposition from Mahesh Ganorkar in the November general election. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that places Foushee at 94.5 percent implied probability. A national Republican wave, late-breaking scandal involving the incumbent, or unforeseen turnout shifts could theoretically narrow the outcome, though structural factors make such changes improbable before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Объем
$45,730Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Valerie Foushee’s commanding position in the NC-04 House race stems from the district’s strong Democratic fundamentals, including its D+23 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent large margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. The incumbent secured renomination in a competitive March 2026 primary against Nida Allam, then advanced to face limited Republican opposition from Mahesh Ganorkar in the November general election. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that places Foushee at 94.5 percent implied probability. A national Republican wave, late-breaking scandal involving the incumbent, or unforeseen turnout shifts could theoretically narrow the outcome, though structural factors make such changes improbable before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$45,730Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Valerie Foushee’s commanding position in the NC-04 House race stems from the district’s strong Democratic fundamentals, including its D+23 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent large margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. The incumbent secured renomination in a competitive March 2026 primary against Nida Allam, then advanced to face limited Republican opposition from Mahesh Ganorkar in the November general election. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that places Foushee at 94.5 percent implied probability. A national Republican wave, late-breaking scandal involving the incumbent, or unforeseen turnout shifts could theoretically narrow the outcome, though structural factors make such changes improbable before Election Day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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