Jeremy Moss secured the Democratic nomination for Michigan’s 11th Congressional District with nearly 50 percent of the primary vote in August 2026, clearing a crowded field in the open seat vacated by Rep. Haley Stevens. The district, centered in Oakland County and rated solidly Democratic by multiple forecasters, has favored Democratic candidates in recent cycles due to its suburban voter base and partisan composition. Troy Mayor Ethan Baker, the unopposed Republican nominee, trails in fundraising visibility and faces the structural headwinds typical of challengers in safe-blue territory. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district’s established lean and Moss’s institutional support from state legislative experience and party endorsements. A major scandal, sharp national swing, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though such shifts remain uncommon in this environment.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей МИ-11
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей МИ-11
$79,162 Объем
$79,162 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Джереми Мосс (Д)
96%
Итан Бейкер (Р)
3%
$79,162 Объем
$79,162 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Джереми Мосс (Д)
$56,609 Объем
96%
Итан Бейкер (Р)
$22,552 Объем
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jeremy Moss secured the Democratic nomination for Michigan’s 11th Congressional District with nearly 50 percent of the primary vote in August 2026, clearing a crowded field in the open seat vacated by Rep. Haley Stevens. The district, centered in Oakland County and rated solidly Democratic by multiple forecasters, has favored Democratic candidates in recent cycles due to its suburban voter base and partisan composition. Troy Mayor Ethan Baker, the unopposed Republican nominee, trails in fundraising visibility and faces the structural headwinds typical of challengers in safe-blue territory. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district’s established lean and Moss’s institutional support from state legislative experience and party endorsements. A major scandal, sharp national swing, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though such shifts remain uncommon in this environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Объем
$79,162Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jeremy Moss secured the Democratic nomination for Michigan’s 11th Congressional District with nearly 50 percent of the primary vote in August 2026, clearing a crowded field in the open seat vacated by Rep. Haley Stevens. The district, centered in Oakland County and rated solidly Democratic by multiple forecasters, has favored Democratic candidates in recent cycles due to its suburban voter base and partisan composition. Troy Mayor Ethan Baker, the unopposed Republican nominee, trails in fundraising visibility and faces the structural headwinds typical of challengers in safe-blue territory. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district’s established lean and Moss’s institutional support from state legislative experience and party endorsements. A major scandal, sharp national swing, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though such shifts remain uncommon in this environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$79,162Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Jeremy Moss secured the Democratic nomination for Michigan’s 11th Congressional District with nearly 50 percent of the primary vote in August 2026, clearing a crowded field in the open seat vacated by Rep. Haley Stevens. The district, centered in Oakland County and rated solidly Democratic by multiple forecasters, has favored Democratic candidates in recent cycles due to its suburban voter base and partisan composition. Troy Mayor Ethan Baker, the unopposed Republican nominee, trails in fundraising visibility and faces the structural headwinds typical of challengers in safe-blue territory. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district’s established lean and Moss’s institutional support from state legislative experience and party endorsements. A major scandal, sharp national swing, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though such shifts remain uncommon in this environment.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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