The Michigan 12th congressional district's strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+21, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent. Incumbent Rashida Tlaib secured renomination in the August 4, 2026 primary with roughly 74 percent of the vote against limited challengers, while Republican James Hooper advanced unopposed. The district encompasses heavily Democratic areas in Wayne and Oakland counties, including portions of Detroit and Dearborn, where historical margins have routinely exceeded 40 points. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, limited Republican infrastructure and fundraising trails reinforce the current pricing. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major national Republican surge, late-breaking developments affecting turnout among key voting blocs, or unforeseen candidate-specific events, though structural factors make such shifts improbable.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей МИ-12
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей МИ-12
$33,408 Объем
$33,408 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
95%
Республиканская партия
5%
$33,408 Объем
$33,408 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$21,159 Объем
95%
Республиканская партия
$12,249 Объем
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Michigan 12th congressional district's strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+21, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent. Incumbent Rashida Tlaib secured renomination in the August 4, 2026 primary with roughly 74 percent of the vote against limited challengers, while Republican James Hooper advanced unopposed. The district encompasses heavily Democratic areas in Wayne and Oakland counties, including portions of Detroit and Dearborn, where historical margins have routinely exceeded 40 points. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, limited Republican infrastructure and fundraising trails reinforce the current pricing. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major national Republican surge, late-breaking developments affecting turnout among key voting blocs, or unforeseen candidate-specific events, though structural factors make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Объем
$33,408Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Michigan 12th congressional district's strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+21, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent. Incumbent Rashida Tlaib secured renomination in the August 4, 2026 primary with roughly 74 percent of the vote against limited challengers, while Republican James Hooper advanced unopposed. The district encompasses heavily Democratic areas in Wayne and Oakland counties, including portions of Detroit and Dearborn, where historical margins have routinely exceeded 40 points. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, limited Republican infrastructure and fundraising trails reinforce the current pricing. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major national Republican surge, late-breaking developments affecting turnout among key voting blocs, or unforeseen candidate-specific events, though structural factors make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$33,408Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Michigan 12th congressional district's strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+21, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent. Incumbent Rashida Tlaib secured renomination in the August 4, 2026 primary with roughly 74 percent of the vote against limited challengers, while Republican James Hooper advanced unopposed. The district encompasses heavily Democratic areas in Wayne and Oakland counties, including portions of Detroit and Dearborn, where historical margins have routinely exceeded 40 points. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, limited Republican infrastructure and fundraising trails reinforce the current pricing. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major national Republican surge, late-breaking developments affecting turnout among key voting blocs, or unforeseen candidate-specific events, though structural factors make such shifts improbable.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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