Michigan's 13th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+22 and consistent general election results exceeding 68 percent for the Democratic nominee in recent cycles. Incumbent Shri Thanedar faces a primary challenge from state Representative Donavan McKinney ahead of the August 4, 2026, primary, yet the district's voter composition in Wayne County and surrounding areas creates significant structural barriers for Republican candidates. The sole Republican primary entrant faces an uphill path to the November 3 general election, with limited prospects for shifting the outcome absent major unforeseen developments such as candidate withdrawal or unusual turnout shifts. Trader consensus aligns with historical patterns and nonpartisan race ratings classifying the seat as safely Democratic.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей МИ-13
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей МИ-13
$36,670 Объем
$36,670 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
97%
Республиканская партия
1%
$36,670 Объем
$36,670 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$22,468 Объем
97%
Республиканская партия
$14,201 Объем
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 13th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+22 and consistent general election results exceeding 68 percent for the Democratic nominee in recent cycles. Incumbent Shri Thanedar faces a primary challenge from state Representative Donavan McKinney ahead of the August 4, 2026, primary, yet the district's voter composition in Wayne County and surrounding areas creates significant structural barriers for Republican candidates. The sole Republican primary entrant faces an uphill path to the November 3 general election, with limited prospects for shifting the outcome absent major unforeseen developments such as candidate withdrawal or unusual turnout shifts. Trader consensus aligns with historical patterns and nonpartisan race ratings classifying the seat as safely Democratic.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Объем
$36,670Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 13th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+22 and consistent general election results exceeding 68 percent for the Democratic nominee in recent cycles. Incumbent Shri Thanedar faces a primary challenge from state Representative Donavan McKinney ahead of the August 4, 2026, primary, yet the district's voter composition in Wayne County and surrounding areas creates significant structural barriers for Republican candidates. The sole Republican primary entrant faces an uphill path to the November 3 general election, with limited prospects for shifting the outcome absent major unforeseen developments such as candidate withdrawal or unusual turnout shifts. Trader consensus aligns with historical patterns and nonpartisan race ratings classifying the seat as safely Democratic.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$36,670Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan's 13th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+22 and consistent general election results exceeding 68 percent for the Democratic nominee in recent cycles. Incumbent Shri Thanedar faces a primary challenge from state Representative Donavan McKinney ahead of the August 4, 2026, primary, yet the district's voter composition in Wayne County and surrounding areas creates significant structural barriers for Republican candidates. The sole Republican primary entrant faces an uphill path to the November 3 general election, with limited prospects for shifting the outcome absent major unforeseen developments such as candidate withdrawal or unusual turnout shifts. Trader consensus aligns with historical patterns and nonpartisan race ratings classifying the seat as safely Democratic.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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