Mark Lamb secured the Republican nomination for Arizona’s 5th Congressional District in the July 21 primary with roughly 59 percent of the vote, defeating self-funded challenger Daniel Keenan despite prior allegations of sexual misconduct that drew media scrutiny. The open seat, previously held by Andy Biggs, lies in a district that supported Donald Trump by about 20 points in 2024 and carries consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe” ratings from major forecasters. Lamb benefits from Trump’s endorsement and strong name recognition from his time as Pinal County sheriff. Elizabeth Lee won the Democratic primary with approximately 65 percent. With the November 3 general election still weeks away, traders price the race at 91.5 percent for Lamb, consistent with the district’s partisan baseline and limited recent polling movement. Late developments such as renewed legal issues or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow margins, though structural factors limit realistic upset potential.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоAZ-05 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
AZ-05 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$36,862 Объем
$36,862 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Марк Лэмб (Р)
92%
Элизабет Ли (Д)
9%
$36,862 Объем
$36,862 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Марк Лэмб (Р)
$20,864 Объем
92%
Элизабет Ли (Д)
$15,998 Объем
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mark Lamb secured the Republican nomination for Arizona’s 5th Congressional District in the July 21 primary with roughly 59 percent of the vote, defeating self-funded challenger Daniel Keenan despite prior allegations of sexual misconduct that drew media scrutiny. The open seat, previously held by Andy Biggs, lies in a district that supported Donald Trump by about 20 points in 2024 and carries consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe” ratings from major forecasters. Lamb benefits from Trump’s endorsement and strong name recognition from his time as Pinal County sheriff. Elizabeth Lee won the Democratic primary with approximately 65 percent. With the November 3 general election still weeks away, traders price the race at 91.5 percent for Lamb, consistent with the district’s partisan baseline and limited recent polling movement. Late developments such as renewed legal issues or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow margins, though structural factors limit realistic upset potential.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Объем
$36,862Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mark Lamb secured the Republican nomination for Arizona’s 5th Congressional District in the July 21 primary with roughly 59 percent of the vote, defeating self-funded challenger Daniel Keenan despite prior allegations of sexual misconduct that drew media scrutiny. The open seat, previously held by Andy Biggs, lies in a district that supported Donald Trump by about 20 points in 2024 and carries consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe” ratings from major forecasters. Lamb benefits from Trump’s endorsement and strong name recognition from his time as Pinal County sheriff. Elizabeth Lee won the Democratic primary with approximately 65 percent. With the November 3 general election still weeks away, traders price the race at 91.5 percent for Lamb, consistent with the district’s partisan baseline and limited recent polling movement. Late developments such as renewed legal issues or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow margins, though structural factors limit realistic upset potential.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$36,862Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Mark Lamb secured the Republican nomination for Arizona’s 5th Congressional District in the July 21 primary with roughly 59 percent of the vote, defeating self-funded challenger Daniel Keenan despite prior allegations of sexual misconduct that drew media scrutiny. The open seat, previously held by Andy Biggs, lies in a district that supported Donald Trump by about 20 points in 2024 and carries consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe” ratings from major forecasters. Lamb benefits from Trump’s endorsement and strong name recognition from his time as Pinal County sheriff. Elizabeth Lee won the Democratic primary with approximately 65 percent. With the November 3 general election still weeks away, traders price the race at 91.5 percent for Lamb, consistent with the district’s partisan baseline and limited recent polling movement. Late developments such as renewed legal issues or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow margins, though structural factors limit realistic upset potential.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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