**Incumbent Republican Lance Gooden holds a commanding lead in the TX-05 House race, reflected in the 91.5% Republican implied probability.** The district, covering parts of the Dallas-Fort Worth metro area including Mesquite and Kaufman County, carries a strong Republican lean with a Partisan Voter Index around R+10 to R+13 and consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles. Gooden won his March 2026 primary uncontested after minor challengers withdrew, while Democrat Chelsey Hockett emerged from a May runoff to face him in the November general. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Gooden’s substantial fundraising edge and the absence of competitive Democratic infrastructure or polling shifts reinforce trader consensus. A national Democratic wave, late scandal, or unusually high opposition turnout could narrow the gap, though structural barriers make a flip improbable.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоTX-05 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
TX-05 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$32,412 Объем
$32,412 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
92%
Демократическая партия
8%
$32,412 Объем
$32,412 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$11,524 Объем
92%
Демократическая партия
$20,888 Объем
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent Republican Lance Gooden holds a commanding lead in the TX-05 House race, reflected in the 91.5% Republican implied probability.** The district, covering parts of the Dallas-Fort Worth metro area including Mesquite and Kaufman County, carries a strong Republican lean with a Partisan Voter Index around R+10 to R+13 and consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles. Gooden won his March 2026 primary uncontested after minor challengers withdrew, while Democrat Chelsey Hockett emerged from a May runoff to face him in the November general. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Gooden’s substantial fundraising edge and the absence of competitive Democratic infrastructure or polling shifts reinforce trader consensus. A national Democratic wave, late scandal, or unusually high opposition turnout could narrow the gap, though structural barriers make a flip improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Объем
$32,412Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent Republican Lance Gooden holds a commanding lead in the TX-05 House race, reflected in the 91.5% Republican implied probability.** The district, covering parts of the Dallas-Fort Worth metro area including Mesquite and Kaufman County, carries a strong Republican lean with a Partisan Voter Index around R+10 to R+13 and consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles. Gooden won his March 2026 primary uncontested after minor challengers withdrew, while Democrat Chelsey Hockett emerged from a May runoff to face him in the November general. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Gooden’s substantial fundraising edge and the absence of competitive Democratic infrastructure or polling shifts reinforce trader consensus. A national Democratic wave, late scandal, or unusually high opposition turnout could narrow the gap, though structural barriers make a flip improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$32,412Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...**Incumbent Republican Lance Gooden holds a commanding lead in the TX-05 House race, reflected in the 91.5% Republican implied probability.** The district, covering parts of the Dallas-Fort Worth metro area including Mesquite and Kaufman County, carries a strong Republican lean with a Partisan Voter Index around R+10 to R+13 and consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles. Gooden won his March 2026 primary uncontested after minor challengers withdrew, while Democrat Chelsey Hockett emerged from a May runoff to face him in the November general. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Gooden’s substantial fundraising edge and the absence of competitive Democratic infrastructure or polling shifts reinforce trader consensus. A national Democratic wave, late scandal, or unusually high opposition turnout could narrow the gap, though structural barriers make a flip improbable.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы