The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+24 and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from nonpartisan analysts, underpins the 93.5% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Gregory Meeks faces no serious primary challenge ahead of the June 23 contest and holds substantial fundraising advantages, while the Republican nominee George Marsh contends in a Southeast Queens seat that delivered overwhelming Democratic margins in recent cycles. Traders price in these structural factors over any national midterm dynamics. Late developments such as an unexpected health event for the incumbent or a major scandal could theoretically narrow the gap before November, though historical patterns in similarly partisan districts show limited movement from such variables.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоNY-05 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
NY-05 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$24,830 Объем
$24,830 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
94%
Республиканская партия
6%
$24,830 Объем
$24,830 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$17,054 Объем
94%
Республиканская партия
$7,777 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+24 and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from nonpartisan analysts, underpins the 93.5% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Gregory Meeks faces no serious primary challenge ahead of the June 23 contest and holds substantial fundraising advantages, while the Republican nominee George Marsh contends in a Southeast Queens seat that delivered overwhelming Democratic margins in recent cycles. Traders price in these structural factors over any national midterm dynamics. Late developments such as an unexpected health event for the incumbent or a major scandal could theoretically narrow the gap before November, though historical patterns in similarly partisan districts show limited movement from such variables.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Объем
$24,830Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+24 and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from nonpartisan analysts, underpins the 93.5% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Gregory Meeks faces no serious primary challenge ahead of the June 23 contest and holds substantial fundraising advantages, while the Republican nominee George Marsh contends in a Southeast Queens seat that delivered overwhelming Democratic margins in recent cycles. Traders price in these structural factors over any national midterm dynamics. Late developments such as an unexpected health event for the incumbent or a major scandal could theoretically narrow the gap before November, though historical patterns in similarly partisan districts show limited movement from such variables.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$24,830Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+24 and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from nonpartisan analysts, underpins the 93.5% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Gregory Meeks faces no serious primary challenge ahead of the June 23 contest and holds substantial fundraising advantages, while the Republican nominee George Marsh contends in a Southeast Queens seat that delivered overwhelming Democratic margins in recent cycles. Traders price in these structural factors over any national midterm dynamics. Late developments such as an unexpected health event for the incumbent or a major scandal could theoretically narrow the gap before November, though historical patterns in similarly partisan districts show limited movement from such variables.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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