Incumbent Democrat Josh Gottheimer faces Republican Sean Kirrane in New Jersey’s 5th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district’s voter registration edge, Gottheimer’s consistent victories including 54.6 percent in 2024, and his substantial fundraising lead position the Democratic nominee as the clear frontrunner in trader assessments. Both candidates advanced unopposed through June primaries, leaving little early volatility. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid Democratic, with no major recent events such as scandals or national shifts altering the baseline. The 89 percent Democratic probability reflects these structural and resource advantages, while the 11 percent Republican share accounts for the possibility of an unusually favorable national environment for the GOP in the midterm cycle.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоNJ-05 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
NJ-05 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$12,026 Объем
$12,026 Объем
4 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
89%
Республиканская партия
11%
$12,026 Объем
$12,026 Объем
4 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$11,592 Объем
89%
Республиканская партия
$434 Объем
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Josh Gottheimer faces Republican Sean Kirrane in New Jersey’s 5th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district’s voter registration edge, Gottheimer’s consistent victories including 54.6 percent in 2024, and his substantial fundraising lead position the Democratic nominee as the clear frontrunner in trader assessments. Both candidates advanced unopposed through June primaries, leaving little early volatility. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid Democratic, with no major recent events such as scandals or national shifts altering the baseline. The 89 percent Democratic probability reflects these structural and resource advantages, while the 11 percent Republican share accounts for the possibility of an unusually favorable national environment for the GOP in the midterm cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
Объем
$12,026Дата окончания
4 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Josh Gottheimer faces Republican Sean Kirrane in New Jersey’s 5th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district’s voter registration edge, Gottheimer’s consistent victories including 54.6 percent in 2024, and his substantial fundraising lead position the Democratic nominee as the clear frontrunner in trader assessments. Both candidates advanced unopposed through June primaries, leaving little early volatility. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid Democratic, with no major recent events such as scandals or national shifts altering the baseline. The 89 percent Democratic probability reflects these structural and resource advantages, while the 11 percent Republican share accounts for the possibility of an unusually favorable national environment for the GOP in the midterm cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$12,026Дата окончания
4 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Josh Gottheimer faces Republican Sean Kirrane in New Jersey’s 5th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district’s voter registration edge, Gottheimer’s consistent victories including 54.6 percent in 2024, and his substantial fundraising lead position the Democratic nominee as the clear frontrunner in trader assessments. Both candidates advanced unopposed through June primaries, leaving little early volatility. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid Democratic, with no major recent events such as scandals or national shifts altering the baseline. The 89 percent Democratic probability reflects these structural and resource advantages, while the 11 percent Republican share accounts for the possibility of an unusually favorable national environment for the GOP in the midterm cycle.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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