Chen Ting-fei holds an 85% implied probability as the Tainan mayoral winner due to her January 2026 Democratic Progressive Party primary victory and the party's uninterrupted control of the city since 1997. As the DPP nominee facing Kuomintang legislator Hsieh Lung-chieh, who trails in head-to-head polling, Chen benefits from established voter alignment in this DPP stronghold ahead of the November 28 local elections. Recent March surveys showed her leading by roughly five points despite Hsieh narrowing the margin, while lower-priced alternatives like Lin Chun-hsien and Lin Yi-feng reflect their non-nominated status. Traders' consensus incorporates the structural advantages of incumbency patterns and party registration dynamics over the remaining campaign period.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоЧэнь Тин-фэй 85%
Се Лунцзе 16%
Лин И-фэн 1.1%
Линь Чунь-сянь <1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 июн. 2027 г.
Чэнь Тин-фэй
85%
Се Лунцзе
16%
Лин И-фэн
1%
Линь Чунь-сянь
1%
Чэнь Тин-фэй 85%
Се Лунцзе 16%
Лин И-фэн 1.1%
Линь Чунь-сянь <1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 июн. 2027 г.
Чэнь Тин-фэй
$2,222 Объем
85%
Се Лунцзе
$373 Объем
16%
Лин И-фэн
$133 Объем
1%
Линь Чунь-сянь
$114 Объем
1%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Tainan as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chen Ting-fei holds an 85% implied probability as the Tainan mayoral winner due to her January 2026 Democratic Progressive Party primary victory and the party's uninterrupted control of the city since 1997. As the DPP nominee facing Kuomintang legislator Hsieh Lung-chieh, who trails in head-to-head polling, Chen benefits from established voter alignment in this DPP stronghold ahead of the November 28 local elections. Recent March surveys showed her leading by roughly five points despite Hsieh narrowing the margin, while lower-priced alternatives like Lin Chun-hsien and Lin Yi-feng reflect their non-nominated status. Traders' consensus incorporates the structural advantages of incumbency patterns and party registration dynamics over the remaining campaign period.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Tainan as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Tainan as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Открытие рынка: Aug 14, 2026, 8:51 AM ET
Объем
$2,841Дата окончания
28 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 14, 2026, 8:51 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Tainan as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chen Ting-fei holds an 85% implied probability as the Tainan mayoral winner due to her January 2026 Democratic Progressive Party primary victory and the party's uninterrupted control of the city since 1997. As the DPP nominee facing Kuomintang legislator Hsieh Lung-chieh, who trails in head-to-head polling, Chen benefits from established voter alignment in this DPP stronghold ahead of the November 28 local elections. Recent March surveys showed her leading by roughly five points despite Hsieh narrowing the margin, while lower-priced alternatives like Lin Chun-hsien and Lin Yi-feng reflect their non-nominated status. Traders' consensus incorporates the structural advantages of incumbency patterns and party registration dynamics over the remaining campaign period.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Tainan as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Tainan as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Объем
$2,841Дата окончания
28 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 14, 2026, 8:51 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Chen Ting-fei holds an 85% implied probability as the Tainan mayoral winner due to her January 2026 Democratic Progressive Party primary victory and the party's uninterrupted control of the city since 1997. As the DPP nominee facing Kuomintang legislator Hsieh Lung-chieh, who trails in head-to-head polling, Chen benefits from established voter alignment in this DPP stronghold ahead of the November 28 local elections. Recent March surveys showed her leading by roughly five points despite Hsieh narrowing the margin, while lower-priced alternatives like Lin Chun-hsien and Lin Yi-feng reflect their non-nominated status. Traders' consensus incorporates the structural advantages of incumbency patterns and party registration dynamics over the remaining campaign period.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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